Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56ebb4e4ffdf6ce04bc845e4cd27ae479359bc55b2b5a0c6073639c7a137912c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,123 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 70,272$35,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,167.58 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Over | 50c | 60,113$30,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,157.79 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 53c | 21,254$11,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,213 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 11,999$6,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,255.7 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 10,842$5,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,426.36 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 49c | 8,154$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,136.19 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Under | 49c | 5,573$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 5,555$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.04 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa28d…d5ccbacked Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 49c | 3,857$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…d730backed Under | 59c | 3,548$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Over | 21c | 3,540$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 51c | 3,441$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.91 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Under | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 2,521$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.16 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 51c | 2,358$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.19 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 48c | 2,175$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.16 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,080$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.66 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 1,130$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.28 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 47c | 1,080$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.19 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 1,074$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.28 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 29c | 826.74$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.08 | 350 | 28.9%101 W · 249 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 27c | 800$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 712.14$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.07 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 48c | 699.95$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.97 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 660.13$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.39 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 634.62$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 51c | 489.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Under | 49c | 477$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.27 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 46c | 462$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.48 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 3c | 444.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 51c | 441.94$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.39 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d3…16c0backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…e0f5backed Over | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 52c | 324.79$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.89 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…70aebacked Over | 44c | 277.27$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Over | 52c | 273.08$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 49c | 249.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 249.54$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…b161backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 239.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 49c | 206$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Under | 50c | 202.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 28c | 200.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 407 | 21.9%89 W · 318 L | -53.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…8a64backed Under | 49c | 190$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Over | 53c | 188.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 182$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…a1a1backed Over | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 51c | 154.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 147.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 51c | 137.82$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…0bd5backed Under | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -7.4wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…8434backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 174 | 64.9%113 W · 61 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 50c | 113.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…7575backed Under | 72c | 110.13$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 53c | 109.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 109$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 105.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…3d0fbacked Over | 52c | 104.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Under | 49c | 102.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…8240backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.