TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,123

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,123 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c70,272$35,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,167.5821253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over50c60,113$30,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,157.7916040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over53c21,254$11,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,2132774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+40.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c11,999$6,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,255.76,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c10,842$5,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,426.3651750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under49c8,154$4,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,136.1938649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under49c5,573$2,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,842.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c5,555$2,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,833.0450644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa28d…d5ccbacked Over47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under49c3,857$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…d730backed Under59c3,548$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over21c3,540$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over51c3,441$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.9115534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Under49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under75c2,521$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.164,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27510838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over51c2,358$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.1930143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under48c2,175$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.1683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c2,080$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.661,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04034428.8%99 W · 245 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Under49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7653339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c1,130$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.2875850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under47c1,080$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.194445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c1,074$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.282,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over29c826.74$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.0835028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over27c800$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c712.14$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.071,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under48c699.95$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.9723258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c660.13$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.3952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over52c634.62$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33020054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.244742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25519826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over51c489.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506145.9%28 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Under49c477$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.272240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under46c462$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.489929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over3c444.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.351,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over51c441.94$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.3911449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91d3…16c0backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…e0f5backed Over18c333.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over52c324.79$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.893557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Over52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503718.9%7 W · 30 L-7.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-47.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf3b9…70aebacked Over44c277.27$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Over52c273.08$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1424930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over52c269.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405036%18 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13056158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under49c249.94$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.941650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under67c249.54$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.181,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd9…b161backed Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over41c239.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.092,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under49c206$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0617053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4516731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002850%14 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Under50c202.02$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.011250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over28c200.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4440721.9%89 W · 318 L-53.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10432255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10428255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10432755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002055%11 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe761…8a64backed Under49c190$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.91942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Over53c188.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over50c182$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9172249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under46c180$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.251847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaaa…a1a1backed Over17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over52c169.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Over51c154.73$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.913554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.064940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under48c149.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.995068%34 W · 16 L+8.2wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under49c147.96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.465947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over51c137.82$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.617439.2%29 W · 45 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over52c134.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012945.7%59 W · 70 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1b6…0bd5backed Under48c130$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.61275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Under77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872528%7 W · 18 L-7.4wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-48.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x728c…8434backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Under49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.452673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under48c119.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.417464.9%113 W · 61 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over50c113.92$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0223250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b2…7575backed Under72c110.13$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under53c109.13$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.549753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under48c109$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.961,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over15c106.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169137.4%34 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c105.49$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7561143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Over52c104.17$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.173638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Under49c102.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.231968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0415534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd714…8240backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5219235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.