TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe761…8a64

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$31.76
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.87
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.58
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.17
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.59
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$96.9
Swansea City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.58
Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$115.97
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.42
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.9
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.06
Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+157.9%+$79.15
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$99.99
Coventry City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$108.04
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.03
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.49
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.91
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.32
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Hijikata (-1.5) vs Gentzsch (+1.5)backed Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Jakub Mensik vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Svajda (+1.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.43
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Kasatkina (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Svajda (+1.5)backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Alex Michelsen vs. Rafael Jodar: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.57
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.44
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$78.02
Holstein Kiel vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$98.35
Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$80.25
SC Preußen Münster vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.96
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$93.08
SV 07 Elversberg vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.73
RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.57
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$114.44
FC Schalke 04 vs. Hannover 96: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.12
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.57
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Slovakia vs. Kosovo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.67
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.24
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$56.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of April 20 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Mornar Bar win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.