MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd38adcbe19792fa9f148757c3f67759ef80e579f0a00804ddcb9c9d11ab285d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $275,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 50c | 139,044$69,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,169.85 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Under | 51c | 104,219$53,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,567.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 87,257$43,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,276.57 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Under | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.37 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 48c | 9,249$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,439.52 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 31c | 9,129$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.88 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 8,772$4,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,206.68 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 50c | 7,782$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,891.15 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 4,585$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.31 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 4,198$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.83 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 51c | 3,100$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.97 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 48c | 2,712$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.95 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 2,581$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Under | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 47c | 2,087$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.89 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 2,049$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.17 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 1,961$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.28 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 1,381$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.51 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 69c | 1,360$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.43 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 51c | 1,067$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.25 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 1,024$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.52 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…ffcabacked Over | 50c | 972.52$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.26 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 749.64$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.83 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 48c | 721.02$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.09 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 49c | 710.87$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.33 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 32c | 673.1$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.27 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 658.95$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.36 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 48c | 603.75$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 47c | 500.79$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.32 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 452.39$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 43c | 368.74$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 365$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Under | 52c | 346.44$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.29 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 50c | 341.11$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.56 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 49c | 336.14$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.71 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 50c | 291.57$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.34 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 53c | 283$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 240.16$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 47c | 228.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Over | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 47c | 203.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 48c | 197$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 55c | 168.45$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.65 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Over | 49c | 165$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 21c | 163.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 51c | 159$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 39c | 129.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 50c | 124.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 30c | 123.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 49c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 44c | 119.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Under | 53c | 112.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 15c | 111$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 15c | 109$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc28…ede2backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 33c | 92.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 47c | 90.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Under | 66c | 87.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 70c | 85.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 53c | 83.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 48c | 81.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 63c | 81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 48c | 79.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 54c | 71.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 15c | 71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Under | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…4807backed Under | 67c | 59.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 32c | 58.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Over | 48c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 35c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…87a6backed Over | 48c | 50.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Over | 51c | 50.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 43c | 46.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…06b3backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…188abacked Under | 77c | 36.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.