MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x782bbe2585471f2c4448579ff2126cf09afb198c1a5ebed678f1b435d5558086
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Los Angeles Angels, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 59c | 7,174$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.85 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 5,869$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 46c | 3,684$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.87 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 3,565$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.64 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 689$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.27 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Athletics | 47c | 357.11$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.79 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 27c | 318.79$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.95 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Athletics | 71c | 274.01$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.93 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 245$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Athletics | 46c | 141$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 116.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Athletics | 75c | 111.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Athletics | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Athletics | 57c | 83.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Los Angeles Angels | 33c | 83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 74.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 65.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…5382backed Los Angeles Angels | 19c | 61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 59.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 56.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Athletics | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 47.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 46.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 167 | 34.7%58 W · 109 L | -17.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 34.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Athletics | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Athletics | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940a…fe74backed Athletics | 78c | 13.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)this page
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.