TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Angelsof Athletics, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$730,665
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$725,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $730,665 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Los Angeles Angels52c60,000$30,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,057.11,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Athletics51c44,933$22,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,921.4810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels47c37,501$17,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,713.554,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Athletics49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,699.8877053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels61c26,588$16,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,428.4911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Los Angeles Angels55c25,026$13,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,302.11,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Angels60c25,009$14,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,069.452,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed Athletics32c23,000$7,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,319.161020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-59.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fc0…847dbacked Los Angeles Angels43c20,000$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,4007042.9%30 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics49c15,871$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7771,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Athletics37c15,027$5,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,61043554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Athletics41c15,014$6,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,096.7495045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Athletics40c13,795$5,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,495.6712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Athletics49c11,111$5,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,444.3947953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Angels51c10,854$5,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,318.4671650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aaf…b21abacked Los Angeles Angels36c10,278$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,577.78837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Athletics48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80036246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Athletics48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8005743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8201…8a41backed Athletics61c7,150$4,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,364.114247.6%20 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Athletics39c7,136$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.688,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics37c6,944$2,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,586.714,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Athletics44c6,818$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00013045.4%59 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Athletics19c5,987$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.340629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Los Angeles Angels50c5,958$2,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,991.7331958.6%187 W · 132 L+27.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Angels75c5,953$4,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.61,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Athletics32c5,776$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.0479442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics27c5,635$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.884,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Athletics50c5,080$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5406653%35 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Los Angeles Angels53c4,684$2,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.321,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Athletics6c4,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2856666.7%44 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Los Angeles Angels57c4,380$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.662,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Los Angeles Angels51c4,233$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.121,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed Los Angeles Angels62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5203938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Los Angeles Angels52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Athletics44c3,353$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.4633554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Athletics33c3,332$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.116,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Athletics46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38024639%96 W · 150 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Athletics48c2,799$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.3977951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Athletics49c2,579$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.919950.3%100 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics47c2,422$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.221,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels50c2,389$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.53,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics41c2,219$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.968,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Athletics57c2,007$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.7252228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Athletics47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94021242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9605,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Athletics44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88012152.9%64 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Los Angeles Angels69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62017252.9%91 W · 81 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Los Angeles Angels68c1,961$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.5771850.1%360 W · 358 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Athletics49c1,866$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.3720648.1%99 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked Athletics6c1,739$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7510913.8%15 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Athletics55c1,733$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.532,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Athletics46c1,730$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.7523255.6%129 W · 103 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Athletics36c1,512$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.311,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Athletics30c1,441$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.3512342.3%52 W · 71 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels60c1,419$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.315,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6e…4555backed Athletics49c1,366$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.3414046.4%65 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Athletics30c1,167$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35047545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80f6…6eafbacked Los Angeles Angels72c1,144$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Athletics53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Athletics49c1,123$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.162,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Los Angeles Angels70c1,088$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.7536759.1%217 W · 150 L+26.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Los Angeles Angels62c1,062$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.5533864.2%217 W · 121 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Angels51c1,024$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.762,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Athletics24c1,015$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.354715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Athletics30c966.67$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2909837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Athletics47c955.63$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.4743459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Athletics43c869.64$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37615848.1%76 W · 82 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Athletics58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Athletics50c816$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.731,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Athletics13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006152.5%32 W · 29 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Athletics47c697.85$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9934650.9%176 W · 170 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Angels54c690.46$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.246,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Los Angeles Angels51c660$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.417853.4%95 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb5…d57abacked Athletics48c625.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3221644.9%97 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Athletics32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Athletics50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30066050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Athletics4c598$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.963929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Athletics50c587.44$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7257548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Athletics47c585.81$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.3312549.6%62 W · 63 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Los Angeles Angels72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5620456.9%116 W · 88 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Athletics37c550.07$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20421146.4%98 W · 113 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Athletics44c545.41$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9819542.6%83 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce60…f989backed Athletics46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-82.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Los Angeles Angels53c514.98$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.7651849.4%256 W · 262 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked Athletics38c511.53$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3821347.9%102 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Los Angeles Angels55c510.95$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.6480159.2%474 W · 327 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed Los Angeles Angels52c510.71$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.067356.2%41 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Athletics44c508.46$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.726456.3%36 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Los Angeles Angels74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13027552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Los Angeles Angels50c435.87$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9437348.3%180 W · 193 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Los Angeles Angels52c429.97$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.4892046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked Athletics49c427.87$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6624346.9%114 W · 129 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Athletics19c412.62$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5517930.2%54 W · 125 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Athletics49c408$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.921,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Athletics51c405.88$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2079652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Athletics49c401.63$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.814050.7%71 W · 69 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Los Angeles Angels55c400.24$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.8439953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Los Angeles Angels51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19634648.6%168 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Athletics49c400$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19454945.4%249 W · 300 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc822…650bbacked Athletics50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.