TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Athletics (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Angelsof Athletics, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,692

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,682 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Athletics33c18,697$6,099 inLost-$6,099.2711,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Los Angeles Angels64c11,166$7,146 inWon+$4,020.311,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels72c7,427$5,352 inWon+$2,075.3312,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Los Angeles Angels63c946.69$600 inWon+$346.6917546.9%82 W · 93 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Athletics37c800$296 inLost-$29611454.4%62 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7693…470fbacked Los Angeles Angels63c474.47$300 inWon+$174.4721354.5%116 W · 97 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics37c300$111 inLost-$1118,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Los Angeles Angels64c283$180 inWon+$103.071,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Athletics26c193.76$51 inLost-$51.2888153.7%473 W · 408 L+40.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Angels62c189.63$118 inWon+$72.062,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics16c172$28 inLost-$28.042,14950.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Athletics24c164.28$40 inLost-$40.095,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Athletics36c121.58$44 inLost-$43.771,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Los Angeles Angels79c100$79 inWon+$21.151,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Angels74c100$74 inWon+$26.051,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Athletics38c98.6$37 inLost-$37.321,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Athletics28c95.1$26 inLost-$26.225,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Athletics27c86.41$23 inLost-$23.4910,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeae4…5c60backed Athletics37c80$30 inLost-$29.61435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Los Angeles Angels72c79.55$57 inWon+$22.676558%444 W · 321 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Athletics37c62.62$23 inLost-$23.172,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Athletics38c55.36$21 inLost-$21.043,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Athletics38c52.63$20 inLost-$2024742.9%106 W · 141 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Los Angeles Angels63c50$32 inWon+$18.51,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels63c49.12$31 inWon+$18.175,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Angels62c45.03$28 inWon+$17.112,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics24c43$10 inLost-$10.324,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Los Angeles Angels57c40.33$23 inWon+$17.331,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Athletics35c37.38$13 inLost-$13.1934451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Los Angeles Angels63c35$22 inWon+$12.9552852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Angels63c25$16 inWon+$9.352,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Angels61c17$10 inWon+$6.636,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Los Angeles Angels64c15.75$10 inWon+$5.671,48163.5%940 W · 541 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.