TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeae4…5c60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Weather, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11343.4%49 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.62
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.26
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.88
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.34
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.88
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
England to score first vs. Mexico?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$29.2
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$16.74
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.2
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$22.8
Switzerland leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.32
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$51.25
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.8
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.68
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.9
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$49.5
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$47.7
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.1
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.9
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Bencic vs Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.58
Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Marta Kostyukbacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dartbacked Harriet Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.13
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Busebacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.09
Emma Navarro vs. Gabriela Ruse: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Bad Homburg Open: Emma Navarro vs Gabriela Rusebacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.88
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.17
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Arthur Geabacked Soon-Woo Kwon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$38.4
Bad Homburg Open: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarrobacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Linda Noskovabacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$9.8
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$12.87
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.71
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$40.89
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.98
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$25.69
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Solid vs INTZ (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Play-Inbacked INTZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$56.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.