TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Athletics (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Francisco Giantsof Athletics, San Francisco Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,479

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x70dc…1dfdbacked San Francisco Giants73c14,304$10,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,837.7814943.6%65 W · 84 L-17.3wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Athletics29c11,441$3,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,298.2710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed San Francisco Giants76c10,125$7,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.6848451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Athletics41c7,000$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,869.9944851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Athletics39c6,350$2,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.051,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Athletics28c5,360$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.3511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants59c4,002$2,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.884,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Athletics39c3,864$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50061351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55bb…bc01backed San Francisco Giants63c2,446$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.781266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants61c2,050$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.51,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants60c1,963$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.193,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed San Francisco Giants59c1,143$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.6127254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed San Francisco Giants64c1,046$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.53,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked San Francisco Giants59c890$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.91,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Athletics23c797.04$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5729…b054backed Athletics28c717.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005738.6%22 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Athletics39c699.99$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27369351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed San Francisco Giants64c625.42$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.426467.2%43 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed San Francisco Giants59c625.15$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.3161450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics37c588.9$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.054,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants60c544.85$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.945,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Athletics40c462$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6379442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked San Francisco Giants61c450$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.555653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Athletics37c393.24$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.818,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants60c382$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.86,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Athletics40c338.47$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.042,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ec…3b76backed San Francisco Giants61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8710750.5%54 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed San Francisco Giants72c325$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907268.1%49 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Athletics23c286.33$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8123240.9%95 W · 137 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Athletics41c273.8$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.266152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked San Francisco Giants78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4147348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Athletics40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010744.9%48 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked Athletics40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Athletics32c248.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.625,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb8b…646dbacked Athletics40c242.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.12944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Athletics23c201$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.231,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics37c182.6$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.564,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Athletics40c164.58$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.232,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed San Francisco Giants64c155.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9923140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2821…9534backed Athletics35c140.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Athletics37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012128.1%34 W · 87 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed San Francisco Giants63c126.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9824742.9%106 W · 141 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed San Francisco Giants59c118.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6467449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Athletics39c115.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511949.6%59 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3f5…42cabacked San Francisco Giants79c111.15$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.795565.5%36 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Athletics28c107$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9110143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Athletics39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3999447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics39c92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.18,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked San Francisco Giants74c90.09$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2874657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Athletics29c84.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.431,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Athletics30c82.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.581,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x741b…85d9backed San Francisco Giants61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed San Francisco Giants64c78.68$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.042,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Athletics32c76.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3382551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked San Francisco Giants58c76.69$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.211,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Athletics39c74.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.252,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Athletics42c66.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.932,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c49…1862backed San Francisco Giants61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5735353.8%190 W · 163 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed San Francisco Giants61c63.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9346659.7%278 W · 188 L+1.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Athletics40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a8…e9d9backed Athletics40c61.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.522740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Athletics33c59.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8827451.8%142 W · 132 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Athletics22c51.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1731963%201 W · 118 L+27.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants68c50.24$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.226,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd996…ce40backed Athletics22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeae4…5c60backed Athletics36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdef6…d18fbacked San Francisco Giants61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1845348.6%220 W · 233 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Athletics41c48.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.982,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Athletics39c47.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.482,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed San Francisco Giants68c46.55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.726,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda9e…7b03backed Athletics40c43.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.351346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked San Francisco Giants76c43.19$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.556753.7%36 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Francisco Giants61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Athletics39c39.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.325440.6%103 W · 151 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Athletics40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1234843.4%151 W · 197 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Giants66c29.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.994,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Athletics40c28.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.523,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed San Francisco Giants60c26.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6942448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed San Francisco Giants73c25.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.783171%22 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e5a…59b9backed Athletics40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108943.8%39 W · 50 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked San Francisco Giants61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5913155.7%73 W · 58 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74df…2b11backed San Francisco Giants61c24.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.498050%40 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked San Francisco Giants61c22.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9589950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc622…8f86backed San Francisco Giants59c20.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.345961%36 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed San Francisco Giants59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.223750.6%120 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed San Francisco Giants61c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.631,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2411…d620backed San Francisco Giants77c13.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.032857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.