TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Francisco Giantsof Athletics, San Francisco Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,423,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,408,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,423,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 540 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed San Francisco Giants41c191,091$78,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,600.4885645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59de…4b55backed Athletics50c178,334$89,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,684.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+71.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed Athletics51c136,288$69,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,283.026653%35 W · 31 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked San Francisco Giants52c116,900$60,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,604.391,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed San Francisco Giants49c99,084$48,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,532.755053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants44c77,017$34,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,989.222,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Athletics75c47,935$35,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,757.484151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed San Francisco Giants49c47,095$23,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,018.23060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics51c42,760$21,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,776.674,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants48c37,783$18,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,711.6110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Athletics51c30,484$15,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,546.962,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Athletics67c30,030$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00016548.5%80 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked San Francisco Giants47c25,999$12,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,779.45650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed San Francisco Giants54c18,316$9,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,425.4514648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Athletics48c17,135$8,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,271.5261351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Athletics50c16,287$8,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,219.078,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Athletics51c15,963$8,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,141.363551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics51c15,249$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7771,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed San Francisco Giants42c14,449$6,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,316.411,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c99…809cbacked San Francisco Giants48c13,709$6,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,175250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Athletics54c13,689$7,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,440.5519950.3%100 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants46c13,346$6,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,149.3295045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants39c12,535$4,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,694.671,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Athletics49c12,436$6,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,048.0879442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked San Francisco Giants55c11,434$6,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,141.1521242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants50c10,970$5,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,486.66,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed San Francisco Giants55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50048451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Athletics51c9,804$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004531.1%14 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Francisco Giants28c9,643$2,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,895.153,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics51c8,473$4,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,314.841,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Athletics54c8,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.9844851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93aa…4ab1backed Athletics53c7,539$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Athletics52c7,474$3,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,853.7523255.6%129 W · 103 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Francisco Giants46c6,500$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,509.9975248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked San Francisco Giants32c6,435$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,351.53757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6193…5b80backed Athletics51c6,312$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249.8223146.8%108 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Athletics54c6,242$3,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,372.4811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x729b…1b33backed San Francisco Giants49c6,059$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,098.36683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+54.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants50c5,857$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,951.172,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc3…b676backed Athletics48c5,573$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,67520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked San Francisco Giants55c5,455$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.551154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants46c5,196$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,813.185,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants48c4,930$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,560.231,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Athletics51c4,902$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50022257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked San Francisco Giants51c4,825$2,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.461741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc9c…2ee9backed San Francisco Giants33c4,109$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,738.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+199.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants48c4,019$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.324,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed San Francisco Giants33c3,839$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,577.686747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Athletics58c3,162$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.792,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics79c3,080$2,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.844,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Athletics51c3,058$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.763,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Athletics51c2,987$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.4489153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed San Francisco Giants47c2,985$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.0918860.1%113 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+237.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Athletics51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50023357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Athletics71c2,900$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.981376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Athletics51c2,897$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.387950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed San Francisco Giants35c2,868$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.581,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed San Francisco Giants36c2,793$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.2179255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Giants50c2,783$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.54,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed San Francisco Giants37c2,769$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.1460043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked Athletics45c2,714$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.712740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics55c2,688$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.928,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0078…0690backed Athletics48c2,636$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.885038%19 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Athletics51c2,480$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.820455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked San Francisco Giants50c2,388$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.1848147%226 W · 255 L-31.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Athletics49c2,367$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.8114943.6%65 W · 84 L-17.3wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Athletics51c2,157$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10032850.3%165 W · 163 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Francisco Giants57c2,145$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.211,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Athletics51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07112255.7%68 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff7…2e67backed Athletics51c2,097$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0643240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed San Francisco Giants50c2,041$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.4138353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Athletics45c2,013$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.662123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked San Francisco Giants53c1,994$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.3191252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants46c1,823$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.2212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5201…d9d6backed Athletics14c1,735$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.12100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed San Francisco Giants47c1,727$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.167338.4%28 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Athletics46c1,717$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.761650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants48c1,671$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.856,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Athletics51c1,670$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.7866050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9bae…0a3fbacked San Francisco Giants54c1,619$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.024141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…2a53backed San Francisco Giants53c1,576$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.829455.3%52 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants46c1,555$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.989,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Athletics46c1,546$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.174759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0537…e9dcbacked San Francisco Giants53c1,527$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.773650%18 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d00…52f2backed Athletics48c1,510$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Athletics15c1,500$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+212.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Athletics46c1,480$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.1492046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Athletics51c1,461$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74525149.8%125 W · 126 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba4…9e2dbacked Athletics15c1,460$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.41315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f7…440fbacked Athletics15c1,460$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8f…3ce9backed Athletics15c1,460$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.41513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Athletics51c1,441$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.9119951.8%103 W · 96 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Athletics48c1,419$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.452,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked San Francisco Giants53c1,419$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.5251849.4%256 W · 262 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Athletics52c1,358$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.231,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Athletics50c1,307$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.4728152%146 W · 135 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed San Francisco Giants39c1,289$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.0997050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked San Francisco Giants38c1,280$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.61442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed San Francisco Giants48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65014860.1%89 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd553…6af5backed Athletics49c1,243$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.