TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4ff7…2e67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst WNBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT6949.3%34 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,276.39
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$670.35
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.12
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$981.04
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$740
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$777.9
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+145.6%+$982.46
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$344.78
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$342.86
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$303.71
LoL: Team Solid vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$62.46
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+132.4%+$561.37
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.74
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.46
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+31%+$137.28
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+441.5%+$1,327.11
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.28
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$747.1
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$275.29
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$542.29
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$338.43
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$352.17
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$312.25
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$572
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$366.67
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.11
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$39.65
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$598
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$78.89
Will Willson Contreras win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.62
Will Ben Rice win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.5
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$599
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$62.5
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$266.04
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 13.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$163.73
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,064
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$831
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$564
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$934.84
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+728.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$595.81
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+13,792.5%+$1,379.25
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+4,445.5%+$666.82
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$391.67
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$397.67
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$203.97
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$599.9
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$288
Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.53
Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$307.08
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$223.77
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.75
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.09
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+57.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+65.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Dbacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC UNA Strassen (-1.5)backed SP La Fiorita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.