WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74fd6f529a52690a36810a1a1ab62fb306a02c2067a145e8ef50e21386a39826
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Sparksof Indiana Fever, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,649.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 10,200$5,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,497.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 7,769$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.19 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 3,882$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.95 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 2,239$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.99 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Indiana Fever | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 56c | 1,260$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.82 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 1,208$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 1,024$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.96 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Indiana Fever | 69c | 580.05$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.99 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 498.27$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.32 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 385.51$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.78 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf224…bda7backed Indiana Fever | 29c | 339$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…2e67backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 283.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…508cbacked Indiana Fever | 56c | 177.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 152.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 136.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 133$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 132.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 131.13$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 109.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 98.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…3d6fbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a2…b58ebacked Indiana Fever | 54c | 93.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Indiana Fever | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 84.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 55.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Indiana Fever | 35c | 46.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 44.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 41.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 39.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d52…4dafbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…5112backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 33.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Indiana Fever | 55c | 26.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 19.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…e67fbacked Indiana Fever | 69c | 19.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…6a5dbacked Indiana Fever | 71c | 18.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)this page
- Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 182.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 183.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 184.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 185.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.