WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb48388898d700bc7fbc85f5f7b15fb29e54c8b3a85dc090f2974e797353fc2de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 3,391$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 3,300$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.22 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 2,695$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.61 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 2,048$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 52c | 1,896$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.94 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 52c | 1,417$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.84 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 48c | 1,088$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.24 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 53c | 996.17$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 926.92$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 768.55$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.43 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 52c | 575$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 2c | 521.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 52c | 519.31$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.17 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Under | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Over | 53c | 494.38$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 53c | 466.66$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.33 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 6c | 404.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Under | 50c | 366$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 69c | 327.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.33 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Under | 47c | 312.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 57c | 310$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Under | 49c | 310$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…0053backed Over | 49c | 225.84$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Under | 49c | 212.21$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 50c | 179.12$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…929bbacked Over | 52c | 166.79$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Over | 41c | 149.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 51c | 133.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 44c | 110.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 41c | 105.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 97.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 53c | 94.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 23c | 91.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 64c | 84.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 48c | 68.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…d83abacked Over | 52c | 66.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 55c | 62.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 59c | 28.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…1a59backed Over | 75c | 26.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 52c | 22.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 52c | 20.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee7…fb13backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5this page
- Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 182.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 183.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 184.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 185.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.