WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 183.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x566e7ceef732587b2a89d6a324b1d23cb4cb3cad7b088d0a1b71d9b6f7d16260
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 48c | 14,154$6,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,329.58 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Under | 56c | 8,874$4,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,935.55 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 4,684$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.54 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 52c | 2,531$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.69 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 55c | 1,952$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.06 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…24e8backed Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 46c | 1,854$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.24 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.97 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 2c | 1,253$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 1,031$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.07 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 796.48$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.21 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 45c | 723.36$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.85 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 518.39$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.96 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed Under | 4c | 492.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 50c | 403.04$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 46c | 358$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.96 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 45c | 324.41$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.43 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 49c | 284.39$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.04 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 15c | 270.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 48c | 196$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…0053backed Over | 44c | 157$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 58c | 114.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 37c | 111.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 52c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 45c | 101$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 53c | 89.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Under | 48c | 89.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 60c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 60c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 60c | 83.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Over | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 47c | 76.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 53c | 72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 47c | 70.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 44c | 69.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 53c | 68.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 67.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 56c | 66.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 38c | 54.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 56c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…ac32backed Over | 48c | 42.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe629…d920backed Over | 59c | 38.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 46c | 36.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 42c | 32.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 50c | 23.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 22.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…5d28backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 183.5this page
- Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 182.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 184.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 185.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.