WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e70203696fa9be4c364b205e0e3e3f87fcf019d1b183deb89a7c206ff432c07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Sparksof Indiana Fever, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 23,536$11,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,869.78 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 19,567$9,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,881.55 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 7,924$4,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,897.8 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 7,161$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.34 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 55c | 4,314$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.63 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 3,791$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.68 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 3,327$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.02 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 3,172$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.56 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 2,125$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.18 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 2,100$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.07 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 2,050$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.13 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 1,725$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.49 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Indiana Fever | 59c | 1,531$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 1,206$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.88 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 948.49$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.79 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 854.82$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.86 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Indiana Fever | 32c | 799.97$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf224…bda7backed Indiana Fever | 28c | 690.36$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Los Angeles Sparks | 72c | 670.36$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.7 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23c…07cebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 632.37$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 557.69$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 538$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.24 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 381.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.18 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 362$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.54 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 205$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc50…f8debacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 204.63$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…cbe8backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 190$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…508cbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 31c | 182$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Los Angeles Sparks | 62c | 165.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Los Angeles Sparks | 66c | 147.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 142.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 118.77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +46%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 112$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 109.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 104.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1e…05f5backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…95eebacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 88.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 72.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 42c | 69.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 68.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Indiana Fever | 40c | 59.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 59.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 50.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 49.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…8597backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 36.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Los Angeles Sparks | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f95…6768backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 34.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Indiana Fever | 37c | 28.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 68c | 23.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 68c | 23.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Los Angeles Sparks | 63c | 20.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 20.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)this page
- Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 182.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 183.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 184.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 185.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.