WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 184.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2fec654b97b829214c34b314d764df24e929d0faa16273cc180deb328cef938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Under | 58c | 13,177$7,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,591.48 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 45c | 7,074$3,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,890.7 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 43c | 5,483$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.94 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 55c | 1,147$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.77 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 42c | 832$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.56 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 52c | 432.42$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 42c | 376.45$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.34 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 48c | 252.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.08 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 43c | 248.09$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.41 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 55c | 211.4$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 201.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.31 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…0053backed Over | 44c | 143.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 43c | 107$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Under | 48c | 103.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 18c | 98.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…6a5dbacked Over | 30c | 78.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 44c | 74.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 56c | 61.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 43c | 60.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 43c | 57.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Over | 44c | 46.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Over | 44c | 40.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 64c | 26.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Under | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 52c | 23.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 45c | 22.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…7e45backed Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 76cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 184.5this page
- Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 182.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 183.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 185.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.