TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe629…d920

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5)backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Prague 2: Norbert Gombos vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.75
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanovbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Bouzkova (+1.5)backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$17.2
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Valentova (+1.5)backed Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.29
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.25
Set Handicap: Bouzkova (-1.5) vs Stefanini (+1.5)backed Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shangbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.47
ITF Koksijde: Barbora Palicova vs Sofya Lanserebacked Barbora Palicova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.58
National Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Terence Atmanebacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
National Bank Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.65
Warsaw: Weronika Falkowska vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Noma Noha Akugue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.27
Plovdiv 2: Hernan Casanova vs Yannick Alexandrescoubacked Hernan Casanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.51
ITF Denia: Hernan Casanova vs Carlos Lopez Montagudbacked Hernan Casanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.47
ITF Brisbane: Natsuho Arakawa vs Maiko Uchijimabacked Maiko Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)backed Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Paolini (+1.5)backed Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.65
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.41
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.08
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$41.72
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.03
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$8.92
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.95
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$17.76
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$11.73
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.58
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.63
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$66.03
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.78
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+108.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Washington Wizards vs. Utah Jazzbacked Utah Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
NBA Summer League: Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked Golden State Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.