WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca0255d5ca264b60a1b30dd67f9ab9c9fa9717a5815f750ede4855c2e5a38a58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 5,857$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.84 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Over | 54c | 4,078$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.69 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 52c | 3,147$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.23 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 48c | 2,441$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.86 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 54c | 2,335$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.7 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 2,262$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.11 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 54c | 2,000$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.92 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.57 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 50c | 1,905$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.38 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 1,471$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.21 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 1,157$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.36 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 48c | 1,006$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.74 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 46c | 793$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.78 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Over | 50c | 740$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 52c | 503.49$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.68 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 52c | 366.29$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.82 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Under | 48c | 256$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 52c | 256$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 248.81$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.45 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 46c | 234.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 52c | 207.75$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.63 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 164.9$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 52c | 164.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 143$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 54c | 133$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…3ea6backed Under | 46c | 74.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 52c | 66.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Over | 52c | 60.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe629…d920backed Over | 52c | 54.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 47c | 42.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 46c | 35.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Over | 52c | 27.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 47c | 25.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 48c | 24.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…dbcdbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 160.5this page
- Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas WingsGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 161.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 162.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.