WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74d0211cf8d2d96425c9a3946d849610e2d078693a5cdb5aa0b8e1a2b561e086
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 14,244$6,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,586.21 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf08…907ebacked Under | 54c | 7,342$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 51c | 4,230$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.81 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 53c | 3,576$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.28 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 2,631$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.45 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over | 47c | 1,680$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.5 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 1,568$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.82 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 1,261$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.6 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 47c | 1,045$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.96 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 817$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.18 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 27c | 698.47$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.19 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 9c | 528.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 51c | 491.74$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.32 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 428.07$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Under | 52c | 384.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Under | 40c | 375.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Under | 54c | 372.5$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.15 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 247.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.28 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 45c | 246.42$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.53 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 246.23$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.41 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 232.16$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.69 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 212.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.37 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Under | 53c | 187.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…8703backed Under | 53c | 187.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 68c | 187.12$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 47c | 183$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 47c | 171$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 53c | 168.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.51 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 52c | 167.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Under | 54c | 161$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 156.93$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 153.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 48c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 50c | 135.57$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 58c | 133.11$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 59c | 114$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 50c | 97.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Under | 31c | 95.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9f…10cabacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 23c | 91.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…e49fbacked Over | 76c | 81.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 71.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 69c | 65.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…8f07backed Under | 48c | 61.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 70c | 59.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed Under | 28c | 55.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 49c | 54.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 70c | 51.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 46c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Over | 64c | 46.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 52c | 41.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…fcc6backed Under | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfc…6690backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 52c | 38.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 48c | 36.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 53c | 34.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd42…05a7backed Over | 76c | 31.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Over | 63c | 30.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 64c | 27.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 50c | 21.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Over | 67c | 19.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 162.5this page
- Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas WingsGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 160.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 161.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.