WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98174322b8b0688ff918732d9ddb8290d5cde8425cbbddb61681f912d294f3fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1681…5032backed Under | 51c | 7,748$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.77 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 4,001$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.1 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 1,893$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.73 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 1,662$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.45 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 54c | 1,196$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.84 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 51c | 671.48$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.17 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Under | 57c | 602.99$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.64 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 51c | 599.76$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.78 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 44c | 582.28$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.38 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 49c | 492.62$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.23 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 482.15$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.89 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 450$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.88 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 449.93$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.35 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 406.63$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.32 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 59c | 339.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.73 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 301.82$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.02 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Under | 55c | 298.06$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.93 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 49c | 248.54$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 45c | 246.13$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.37 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ec…2ba2backed Under | 55c | 207.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Under | 43c | 179.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Under | 49c | 140.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…0904backed Over | 46c | 123.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 44c | 116$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 46c | 108.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 54c | 103.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Under | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 55c | 99.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 51c | 96.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 91.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 56c | 82.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 48c | 79.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…8f07backed Over | 51c | 76.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Under | 28c | 63.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Under | 54c | 59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 55c | 47.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 53c | 45.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 50c | 45.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 53c | 44.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 40.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 49c | 40.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 51c | 32.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Over | 50c | 30.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 41c | 27.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 51c | 20.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Under | 57c | 19.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 163.5this page
- Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas WingsGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 160.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 161.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 162.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.