TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 161.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,656 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd202…8973backed Under52c13,732$7,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,136.027648.7%37 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Over48c3,576$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.689036.7%33 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Over48c3,234$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c2,923$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.851,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under52c2,842$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.062646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c2,672$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.3899548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c2,517$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.8438650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c1,648$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.5732540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c1,505$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.4346247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed Over49c1,429$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.575158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over48c1,347$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.4574942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under49c1,305$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.3350646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c1,165$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.711,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under53c1,136$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5208159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Over51c900$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4389827.6%27 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Over48c887.19$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.192653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under49c839.75$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.4885158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c604.65$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.4226247.7%125 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c539.33$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.7989349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Over48c400.44$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.2314148.9%69 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1966544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Under52c317.25$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9727449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98f3…3ca0backed Under50c306$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c300$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.583748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over48c299.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9939947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d18…2365backed Over51c299$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.28442.9%36 W · 48 L-10.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0dae…72febacked Over51c288.45$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.341275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+47.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over48c251.67$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8713649.3%67 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c216.55$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3164152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Over48c194.35$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.061080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+43.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Over53c188.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.877829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under51c121.86$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.158549.4%42 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over48c101$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5214345.5%65 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdfe…9483backed Under49c88.02$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.132045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over48c83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.165839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over47c70.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3671245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over49c63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1341145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b4…11adbacked Under51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.63040%12 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under49c53.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1120340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over60c53.06$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.998556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Over50c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268057.5%46 W · 34 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over51c51.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.276350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c65…2e0dbacked Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.02966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265337.7%20 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Over50c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.56155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Under25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a6…541ebacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe521…880ebacked Over48c36.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.841650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over63c36.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5419257.3%110 W · 82 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ebe…6dccbacked Over51c35.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over61c35.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8713355.6%74 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf1…7cb7backed Over48c29.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x460c…b5b5backed Over54c26.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.041968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over57c18.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8115453.2%82 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over57c18.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8124656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.