TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d80…e49f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Estral Esports vs Ei Nerd Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.37
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.6
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.69
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.59
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$538.84
LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+498.8%+$836.9
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.15
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 4 Winnerbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.73
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.35
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.3
LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.4
LoL: Solary vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: Solary vs TLN Pirates (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$778.09
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.33
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.82
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.17
LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$128.52
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.56
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.41
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.63
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$64.29
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs BakS eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$18.14
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-Sashi Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group Dbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69%+$33.1
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$26.71
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group Abacked Lazer Cats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.17
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Phantom Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.72
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs SINQU Rehti - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs SINQU Rehti (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group Bbacked Passion Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+147.5%+$153.42
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16backed JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$37.71
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Brute - Map 1 Winnerbacked eSuba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$19.22
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$40.79
Counter-Strike: Brute vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Playoffsbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Butterfly (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$52.92
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Greet Minnen vs Jeline Vandrommebacked Greet Minnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.2
US Open, Qualification WTA: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Himeno Sakatsumebacked Jazmin Ortenzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$112.06
Cincinnati Open: Madison Keys vs Xiyu Wangbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.22
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.63
Set 1 Winner: Bejlek vs Alexandrovabacked Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs Stephensbacked Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$43.15
Cincinnati Open: Lilli Tagger vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+200.5%+$102.79
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$124.1
Will Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Skybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$19.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.