CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4432df49b36c20c1a27a604fa8a1e8bc133c0f9d5e0850fc911277ae3c6afc1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,997,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,134,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,997,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 960 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 131,237$49,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,870.22 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 77,228$28,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,227.79 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf177…5f6abacked FURIA | 60c | 70,271$42,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,883.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 67,623$26,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,417.55 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 55,104$19,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,434.57 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 49,226$19,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,198.12 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a6…429abacked FURIA | 59c | 44,220$25,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,237.76 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed FURIA | 63c | 41,702$26,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,502.8 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…f7c4backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 40,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…5972backed FURIA | 61c | 39,391$24,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,362.32 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 36,936$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked FURIA | 62c | 35,545$22,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,507.1 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked FURIA | 61c | 35,000$21,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,649.94 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 34,104$12,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,103.11 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…80dfbacked FURIA | 62c | 29,850$18,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,342.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed FURIA | 62c | 27,500$17,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,450 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked FURIA | 62c | 26,812$16,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,087.41 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 22,005$8,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,219.47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed FURIA | 58c | 21,518$12,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,937.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed FURIA | 63c | 21,017$13,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,776.43 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 20,454$8,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,795.39 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 19,995$15,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,392.47 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 17,877$7,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,328.55 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 17,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked FURIA | 64c | 15,500$9,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,580 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ef…cc70backed FURIA | 60c | 15,060$8,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,070.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked FURIA | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 14,472$5,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,645.1 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7819…bdb0backed FURIA | 63c | 14,331$9,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,302.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed FURIA | 65c | 13,137$8,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,541.7 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 11,430$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,439.9 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 10,400$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,848 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed FURIA | 62c | 10,171$6,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,865.04 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed FURIA | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed FURIA | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed FURIA | 64c | 9,903$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.92 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed FURIA | 62c | 9,474$5,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600.25 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Aurora Gaming | 28c | 8,787$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.79 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 7,694$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.31 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 7,500$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.99 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FURIA | 52c | 7,453$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,561.99 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 7,381$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.57 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed FURIA | 61c | 7,093$4,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.81 | 343 | 56.6%194 W · 149 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed FURIA | 63c | 7,000$4,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.5 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…5abfbacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 6,937$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 6,845$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.65 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 6,766$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.34 | 665 | 51.9%345 W · 320 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed FURIA | 62c | 6,488$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.58 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 6,073$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580.12 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…d575backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 5,807$3,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed FURIA | 62c | 5,806$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.45 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA | 53c | 5,522$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.7 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 5,444$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.06 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed FURIA | 59c | 5,271$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.67 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f62…dd4dbacked FURIA | 62c | 5,250$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked FURIA | 58c | 5,020$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.38 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed FURIA | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed FURIA | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed FURIA | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.99 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Aurora Gaming | 23c | 4,950$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.9 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 4,872$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.83 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed FURIA | 62c | 4,836$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.27 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 27c | 4,767$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.81 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked FURIA | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.94 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed FURIA | 62c | 4,716$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.17 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed FURIA | 37c | 4,620$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.69 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 4,600$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 4,438$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.3 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 4,394$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.19 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA | 62c | 4,264$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.3 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked FURIA | 62c | 4,185$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 4,098$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.38 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…8830backed FURIA | 52c | 3,874$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.75 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 3,786$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.19 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked FURIA | 30c | 3,786$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.45 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed FURIA | 63c | 3,690$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.3 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed FURIA | 61c | 3,690$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.59 | 569 | 41.3%235 W · 334 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe430…d29fbacked FURIA | 63c | 3,460$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.11 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed FURIA | 46c | 3,380$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.96 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 3,342$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.04 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Aurora Gaming | 22c | 3,333$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.26 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FURIA | 57c | 3,316$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.31 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8bd4backed FURIA | 73c | 3,312$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.43 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 3,300$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ef…e673backed FURIA | 63c | 3,291$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed FURIA | 62c | 3,240$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.32 | 111 | 66.7%74 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked FURIA | 62c | 3,102$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.36 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4511…8418backed FURIA | 62c | 3,100$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed FURIA | 58c | 3,100$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed FURIA | 62c | 3,064$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.65 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed FURIA | 47c | 3,028$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.23 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda4…cea5backed FURIA | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed FURIA | 48c | 3,000$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.95 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 2,974$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.15 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked FURIA | 31c | 2,911$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.57 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…cfd7backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 2,800$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 2,731$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…6136backed FURIA | 75c | 2,700$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.