CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe84962774bfcb66cc6e7155c782e6f7af5796c92cc7ff57c8cb0c94432503d51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 10,477$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,343.17 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 49c | 2,348$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.13 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Under | 50c | 557.14$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.57 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Over | 56c | 376.9$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.84 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 332.96$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.6 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 47c | 312.79$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.78 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 50c | 282.07$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.72 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 44c | 256$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 51c | 241.73$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 302 | 59.3%179 W · 123 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 9c | 194.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1a…0db5backed Over | 54c | 194.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 58c | 172.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf418…a37ebacked Under | 53c | 129.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 53c | 129.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…8d9cbacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 46c | 95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 81.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…ba88backed Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 62c | 78.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 64.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 45c | 61.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 36c | 59.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 61c | 59.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 30c | 56.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…e0f8backed Over | 48c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed Under | 62c | 47.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28fc…6171backed Over | 49c | 46.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…8fecbacked Under | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…c546backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 59c | 39.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Over | 40c | 38.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 45c | 33.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 45c | 31.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…a18abacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 52c | 30.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 52c | 29.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 29.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 52c | 29.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Over | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…06c6backed Over | 49c | 24.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 317 | 59.9%190 W · 127 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.