CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d21e8642fb2598d80e9397c1c1b9109390305018cf6807db7d5b83763290024
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $666,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $755,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $666,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 376 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e74…5972backed FURIA | 54c | 17,732$9,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,078.71 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 14,338$6,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,308.71 | 1,740 | 47%817 W · 923 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked FURIA | 56c | 12,458$6,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,481.56 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FURIA | 50c | 11,801$5,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,848.53 | 1,461 | 39.3%574 W · 887 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 11,634$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235.45 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 11,114$5,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,962.86 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed FURIA | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.98 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 825 | 43%355 W · 470 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…f7c4backed FURIA | 53c | 8,705$4,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,053.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed FURIA | 75c | 7,755$5,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.48 | 193 | 58%112 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 7,480$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291.33 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…7ab9backed FURIA | 49c | 6,900$3,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.29 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 6,056$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.06 | 473 | 46.7%221 W · 252 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FURIA | 52c | 5,395$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.05 | 2,412 | 45.4%1,095 W · 1,317 L | -62.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed FURIA | 49c | 5,336$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.7 | 94 | 72.3%68 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 5,333$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 5,274$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.46 | 1,042 | 52.5%547 W · 495 L | +29.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 5,238$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.13 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 5,057$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.06 | 625 | 34.9%218 W · 407 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.97 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed FURIA | 69c | 4,947$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.71 | 266 | 75.2%200 W · 66 L | +24.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed FURIA | 54c | 4,941$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.65 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA | 49c | 4,853$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.33 | 822 | 51.6%424 W · 398 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c2…421bbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 4,430$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.47 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed FURIA | 54c | 4,205$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.05 | 374 | 54.8%205 W · 169 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 3,710$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.27 | 978 | 40.7%398 W · 580 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 3,594$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.61 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked FURIA | 54c | 3,566$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.48 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 3,389$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.25 | 888 | 48.3%429 W · 459 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 3,346$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.08 | 2,120 | 41.9%889 W · 1,231 L | -47.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed FURIA | 29c | 3,333$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.41 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 3,316$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked FURIA | 47c | 3,100$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.76 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 3,063$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.93 | 761 | 50.7%386 W · 375 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FURIA | 40c | 2,779$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.02 | 2,691 | 30.7%826 W · 1,865 L | -110.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed FURIA | 54c | 2,575$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.15 | 472 | 63.6%300 W · 172 L | +51.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 2,523$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.07 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed FURIA | 50c | 2,415$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.53 | 433 | 55.2%239 W · 194 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 2,410$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.38 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc303…8129backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA | 49c | 2,311$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.72 | 1,627 | 45.7%743 W · 884 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed FURIA | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed FURIA | 53c | 2,192$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.04 | 187 | 61%114 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…4727backed FURIA | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 2,013$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 759 | 45.3%344 W · 415 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 1,979$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.61 | 1,802 | 59.3%1,069 W · 733 L | +107.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…8453backed FURIA | 50c | 1,879$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed FURIA | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 500 | 50.8%254 W · 246 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…0beebacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,742$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,740$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.8 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,708$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.27 | 2,536 | 43.1%1,094 W · 1,442 L | +44.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 1,699$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.23 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Aurora Gaming | 4c | 1,661$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 388 | 47.7%185 W · 203 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked FURIA | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 137 | 16.8%23 W · 114 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed FURIA | 44c | 1,427$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.75 | 399 | 68.4%273 W · 126 L | +28.0wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed FURIA | 34c | 1,400$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922 | 295 | 44.1%130 W · 165 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed FURIA | 56c | 1,395$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,384$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.51 | 175 | 49.7%87 W · 88 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 1,380$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.39 | 769 | 45.9%353 W · 416 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed FURIA | 55c | 1,278$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.18 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,264$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.67 | 523 | 49.3%258 W · 265 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked FURIA | 55c | 1,252$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked FURIA | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.82 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…0adcbacked FURIA | 52c | 1,243$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.16 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FURIA | 44c | 1,222$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.71 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked FURIA | 47c | 1,216$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.87 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | +26.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,214$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6876…8dc9backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 1,204$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…1e02backed FURIA | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,163$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.18 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 1,144$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.8 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8bd4backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,125$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.01 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…f211backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,115$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.3 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,111$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.53 | 573 | 36.1%207 W · 366 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,096$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 304 | 37.8%115 W · 189 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…1999backed FURIA | 56c | 1,081$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FURIA | 54c | 1,080$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.05 | 3,319 | 45.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L | -87.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,074$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.26 | 117 | 56.4%66 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed FURIA | 29c | 1,040$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.49 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,033$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.33 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed FURIA | 56c | 1,027$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.02 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 1,007$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.69 | 387 | 45.7%177 W · 210 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked FURIA | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed FURIA | 50c | 999.98$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.99 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 998.04$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 987.52$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.13 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…438fbacked FURIA | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed FURIA | 49c | 935.68$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.96 | 372 | 57.8%215 W · 157 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 932.04$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.92 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 900$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked FURIA | 73c | 877.57$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.74 | 469 | 65.5%307 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…1298backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 862.32$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.63 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed FURIA | 55c | 812$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.4 | 248 | 48.8%121 W · 127 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.