TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x14b8…81a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
202
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Commodities, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 55 out of 100; worst IPO at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+166.7%+$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.65
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+221.8%+$33.27
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$15.36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+89.2%+$16.5
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+163.2%+$22.84
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$15.85
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.41
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$52.72
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$95
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$21.89
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.92
Will Japan win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Austria vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+252.9%+$43
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$97.46
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$36.51
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Counter-Strike: Unsettled Resentment vs TYLOO (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked Unsettled Resentment · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.83
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$33.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.35
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61%+$23.5
Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.88
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$111.33
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$22.44
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.28
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+112.1%+$18.5
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Cagliari Calcio vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+70.2%+$11.93
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
US Cremonese vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+138.1%+$37.29
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Red Sox vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Tigers vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Royals vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$15.98
Brewers vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Mariners vs. Cubsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.8
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+85%+$188.36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$111.93
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$11.34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$14.39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$41.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+155.3%+$36.5
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.46
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$28.7
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.08
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$46.25
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Jensen Huang say "Bubble" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.16
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.2
Virtus Bologna vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Real Madrid vs. BC Dubaibacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+100%+$15
All 4 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-50.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Spread: Northwestern (-10.5)backed Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Navy (-6.5)backed Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+138.1%+$29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$11.2
VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$16.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.03
Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-3.5)backed Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.72
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+241.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+241.3%+$27.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$90.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alanyaspor vs. Konyaspor: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Naurdiev vs. Parkbacked Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 13 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$32.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Tauson (W) backed Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.