Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a09f7248549e55918be22a17f881857bb63b4ebee7a1c2cd59b49013a76c8c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1748…a816backed No | 50c | 8,481$4,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,238 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 48c | 8,174$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,924.84 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 3,936$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.14 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 2,185$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.94 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes | 53c | 1,438$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.73 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,160$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.48 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 52c | 1,143$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.64 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 53c | 709.13$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.29 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 53c | 437.77$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.77 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked No | 64c | 410.63$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.79 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed Yes | 53c | 377$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 336$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.92 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb008…03d8backed Yes | 52c | 250.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed No | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 50c | 194.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 49c | 177$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked No | 16c | 102.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x979b…ed36backed Yes | 52c | 100.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed No | 48c | 99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 48c | 90.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 48c | 75.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed No | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 49c | 72.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…7752backed Yes | 48c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 45c | 67.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked No | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 53c | 52.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 47c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…378bbacked Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Yes | 53c | 48.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Yes | 52c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Yes | 53c | 45.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed Yes | 51c | 44.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Yes | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Yes | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 51c | 38.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9d31backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Yes | 47c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Yes | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…07bfbacked Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…b9f6backed Yes | 52c | 29.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 47c | 28.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Yes | 40c | 28.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Yes | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Yes | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce5…8e89backed Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee0…7e03backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecc…47cbbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.