Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46c27b1a2981ae3810d3c6aa32e79a260cd10854651734dee9da9aaed65a0ed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 3,190$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.5 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 30c | 2,769$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.73 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Over | 74c | 2,432$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.43 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 77cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 63c | 1,123$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.47 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 65c | 1,081$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.57 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 56c | 634$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.04 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Over | 3c | 624.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.17 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.24per pick | 15cpaid | +1,305.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 58c | 431.55$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.55 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 405.02$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.46 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49db…f75bbacked Under | 56c | 393.4$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Over | 51c | 389.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.09 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 72c | 352.63$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 43c | 300.04$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.04 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 26c | 273.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 57c | 260.46$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.46 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 35c | 198.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 69c | 188.41$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 27c | 179$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Over | 44c | 175$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 33c | 173.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 168.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cbf8backed Over | 62c | 160$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Over | 73c | 142.77$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 137.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 111.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 43c | 101$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…295fbacked Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Under | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 95.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c2…6784backed Over | 73c | 89.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Over | 73c | 83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 27c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 65.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 27c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…99f7backed Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 27c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 27c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 50c | 49.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Over | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Over | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 68cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 74c | 22.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 49c | 21.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d5…df27backed Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…349cbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Over | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Over | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Over | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.