TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf28e…cbf8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$24.99
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+38.5%+$32.14
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+178.3%+$81.26
Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+62.2%+$30.86
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$49.02
Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+144.2%+$87.09
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$55.05
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+159.5%+$119.08
Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$21.44
Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7.81
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+84.4%+$27.55
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.01
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$102.64
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24.99
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+60.3%+$60.16
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$49.95
AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$99.9
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+119.1%+$17.01
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.93
Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$14.9
Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+174.9%+$52.35
SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.99
PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$20.75
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$7.04
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+94.7%+$23.52
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+97.8%+$66.74
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100.3%+$26.07
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+39.5%+$34.63
Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$16.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid+38.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+164.2%+$84.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.