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Premier League · resolved market

Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over35c3,589$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.1528056.1%157 W · 123 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under59c2,764$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.112,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over29c2,068$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.891,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over34c1,291$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.461,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under76c1,261$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95818265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under1c1,205$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.054914.3%7 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+76.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over77c1,094$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6615060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c969.32$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.496,21745.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L-33.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Under69c817.99$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.574060%24 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over54c816.79$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.1323926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under67c811.88$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.966262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under66c797.78$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.4839156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Under69c734.45$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.772850%14 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under6c721$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.267429.7%22 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+125%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under69c650$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.530050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under64c641.61$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4716453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under64c599.99$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.998740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d57…caeebacked Under77c535.1$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under39c526.2$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.011,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over33c497.59$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3960728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c0…4bf8backed Under62c487.69$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-76.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under69c467$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.220739.6%82 W · 125 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Under67c418$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.923663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Over36c340.5$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9221965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x54a8…c43bbacked Under68c327.94$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c321.87$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.394,87441.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under51c303.92$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Under66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Under65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1957062.9%44 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.692857.1%16 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Over77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.745151%26 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd5f…7e6abacked Under66c250$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4cd…e2abbacked Under69c234.9$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.083336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Under67c222.39$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14912545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Under65c213.8$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.918740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf70a…541dbacked Over33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1342343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+51.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Under67c180.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8016236.4%59 W · 103 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66a5…4300backed Under66c160$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Under76c156$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5632164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over33c153.66$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1651542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under65c149.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4923453.8%126 W · 108 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Under67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007745.5%35 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Under72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over77c135.06$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0615263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fe…025cbacked Under63c135$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.052759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over49c132.65$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6519259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under65c128$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.581,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92ab…2b99backed Under66c123$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.181650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under69c116.34$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.240150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Under65c113.16$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5516552.7%87 W · 78 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1113450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under70c105$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc7e…a211backed Under65c104.22$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55f5…01b0backed Under66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e05…01cdbacked Under65c90.77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Over37c75.19$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4913941%57 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over34c73.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.539958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Under68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cbf8backed Over71c73.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.474100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf07…5129backed Over34c72.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.955022%11 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Under67c67.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed Under68c66.47$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.21353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Under65c59.55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.717054.3%38 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1170…8398backed Over34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.822653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd560…ee17backed Over36c55.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.26540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under74c54.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4043362.4%270 W · 163 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4626…d40bbacked Over76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122050%10 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54a4…f169backed Under64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Under64c45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.82035%7 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8212747.2%60 W · 67 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd3…8254backed Over37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.543348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.226245.2%28 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe70a…6a5cbacked Under65c38.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251675%12 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+48.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over36c37.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8832149.2%158 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over34c37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.421,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x562c…e035backed Under66c34.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232937.9%11 W · 18 L-6.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-38.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Under68c32.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226549.2%32 W · 33 L-8.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf522…e5e5backed Over74c30.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1eb…b730backed Over77c29.87$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.876100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f43…1754backed Under67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.9wins-0.31per pick62cpaid-51.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Under64c27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.281662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c25.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4956155.1%309 W · 252 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcebd…7219backed Under69c24.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under66c24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8428246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79bb…bf9ebacked Under67c23.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Over50c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.58143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5f…de56backed Under68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over74c18.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9212848.4%62 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.