Premier League · resolved market
Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5007961e7a00232eaea5232607f130bf7a6fc7dd50ba81cc771704652c9a934
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 35c | 3,589$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.15 | 280 | 56.1%157 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 59c | 2,764$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.11 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 29c | 2,068$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.89 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 34c | 1,291$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.46 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 76c | 1,261$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 1c | 1,205$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 77c | 1,094$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.66 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 969.32$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.49 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Under | 69c | 817.99$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.57 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 54c | 816.79$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.13 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 67c | 811.88$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.96 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 66c | 797.78$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.48 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Under | 69c | 734.45$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.77 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 6c | 721$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 69c | 650$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 64c | 641.61$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.47 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 64c | 599.99$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…caeebacked Under | 77c | 535.1$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 39c | 526.2$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.01 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 33c | 497.59$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.39 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c0…4bf8backed Under | 62c | 487.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 69c | 467$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.2 | 207 | 39.6%82 W · 125 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Under | 67c | 418$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.92 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 36c | 340.5$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.92 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54a8…c43bbacked Under | 68c | 327.94$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 321.87$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.39 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 51c | 303.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5f…7e6abacked Under | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Under | 69c | 234.9$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.08 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Under | 67c | 222.39$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Under | 65c | 213.8$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…541dbacked Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Under | 67c | 180.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…4300backed Under | 66c | 160$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 76c | 156$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 33c | 153.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 65c | 149.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 234 | 53.8%126 W · 108 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 135.06$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Under | 63c | 135$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 49c | 132.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 65c | 128$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2b99backed Under | 66c | 123$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 69c | 116.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Under | 65c | 113.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 70c | 105$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7e…a211backed Under | 65c | 104.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…01b0backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e05…01cdbacked Under | 65c | 90.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Over | 37c | 75.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cbf8backed Over | 71c | 73.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…5129backed Over | 34c | 72.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Under | 67c | 67.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Under | 68c | 66.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Under | 65c | 59.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd560…ee17backed Over | 36c | 55.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 74c | 54.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 433 | 62.4%270 W · 163 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4626…d40bbacked Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a4…f169backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6a5cbacked Under | 65c | 38.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 36c | 37.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 321 | 49.2%158 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 34c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…e035backed Under | 66c | 34.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -6.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Under | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf522…e5e5backed Over | 74c | 30.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1eb…b730backed Over | 77c | 29.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…1754backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.9wins | -0.31per pick | 62cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 64c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 561 | 55.1%309 W · 252 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…7219backed Under | 69c | 24.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79bb…bf9ebacked Under | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…de56backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)Manchester United won
- Wolves vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.