Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2dd1b994cc525a1e5418818ae547a6ced0280241fc7d76ff5555180dcdd9de8

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Manchester Unitedof Manchester United, Wolves
Resolved: Dec 8, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $157,010
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $170,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,010 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Manchester United	35c	38,300$13,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,741.73	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Wolves	63c	24,586$15,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,488.5	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Wolves	64c	13,467$8,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,618.64	359	41.5%149 W · 210 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Manchester United	36c	12,608$4,503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,105.66	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wolves	62c	9,255$5,747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,746.78	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Wolves	63c	6,008$3,815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,814.79	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Manchester United	35c	5,727$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,726.56	279	55.9%156 W · 123 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wolves	63c	4,354$2,744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,743.57	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Manchester United	42c	3,836$1,605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,231.18	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc363…9fd8backed Manchester United	33c	3,665$1,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,455.78	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	35cpaid	+56.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wolves	65c	3,613$2,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,338.69	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Wolves	65c	3,502$2,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,271.44	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Manchester United	33c	3,000$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,010	258	36%93 W · 165 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Manchester United	48c	2,626$1,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,377.57	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Wolves	67c	2,588$1,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,733.96	97	63.9%62 W · 35 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	68cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Manchester United	36c	2,245$808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,436.97	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Wolves	64c	2,051$1,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,312.77	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Manchester United	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940	76	36.8%28 W · 48 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Wolves	63c	1,824$1,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,157.11	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Manchester United	35c	1,506$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$978.71	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Wolves	63c	1,474$933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.59	401	50.1%201 W · 200 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Wolves	63c	1,139$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.34	218	53.2%116 W · 102 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Manchester United	36c	1,111$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711.11	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Wolves	19c	1,076$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	182	65.9%120 W · 62 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Manchester United	36c	1,058$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.94	86	32.6%28 W · 58 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Manchester United	34c	1,017$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.57	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Manchester United	54c	782.55$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.97	196	52%102 W · 94 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed Manchester United	36c	700.93$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.81	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Manchester United	46c	647.63$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.63	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Manchester United	33c	632.57$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.82	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Manchester United	36c	600$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	-6.4wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd45…3dd4backed Manchester United	34c	588.24$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.24	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Manchester United	37c	540.54$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.54	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7d…eedcbacked Manchester United	36c	517.17$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.99	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Wolves	40c	471.18$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.58	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3b…6ba5backed Manchester United	31c	450$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.5	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Manchester United	41c	414.22$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.54	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-8.5wins	-0.17per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Manchester United	34c	323.23$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.23	103	42.7%44 W · 59 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc6e…02cfbacked Manchester United	23c	310.5$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.09	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.26per pick	61cpaid	+73.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3299…2d7bbacked Wolves	79c	300$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.79per pick	79cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Manchester United	37c	297.3$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.3	177	45.2%80 W · 97 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2544…f319backed Manchester United	35c	285.71$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.71	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Manchester United	54c	280$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.8	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74e1…e6a2backed Manchester United	79c	267.36$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.23	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Manchester United	35c	249.98$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.49	186	46.8%87 W · 99 L	+11.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wolves	66c	249$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.34	245	66.1%162 W · 83 L	+24.5wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Manchester United	34c	205.88$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.88	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Wolves	63c	200$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Wolves	68c	200$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	157	35.7%56 W · 101 L	+15.5wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Wolves	63c	189.05$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.24	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	54cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83c9…bacfbacked Wolves	47c	182.69$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.86	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Wolves	65c	173.38$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.7	211	54.5%115 W · 96 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d69…beecbacked Manchester United	31c	161.81$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.81	79	36.7%29 W · 50 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Manchester United	35c	142.83$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.84	94	36.2%34 W · 60 L	-7.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e48…6fd3backed Manchester United	23c	140$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.8	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Manchester United	34c	123.64$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.6	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Wolves	64c	118$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.52	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Wolves	65c	109.56$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.08	139	41%57 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Manchester United	34c	104.99$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.5	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ed…b35abacked Manchester United	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea2…a465backed Manchester United	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Manchester United	36c	100$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	119	23.5%28 W · 91 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7543…1852backed Manchester United	37c	100$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	39cpaid	+80.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8af…a0a5backed Manchester United	53c	98.11$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.11	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Manchester United	79c	98$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.48	202	39.6%80 W · 122 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Manchester United	37c	94.59$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.59	134	39.6%53 W · 81 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Wolves	64c	80$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.2	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Manchester United	36c	77.23$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.43	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Manchester United	32c	76.02$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.02	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Wolves	67c	74.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6da8…d660backed Wolves	67c	73.31$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Manchester United	35c	71.43$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.43	327	37.6%123 W · 204 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Manchester United	28c	71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.12	541	28.3%153 W · 388 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Wolves	63c	67.57$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.57	420	48.6%204 W · 216 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Wolves	66c	65.76$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.4	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x851d…1f74backed Manchester United	36c	65.17$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.88	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61a7…f58abacked Manchester United	32c	62.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.97	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ea…21e1backed Manchester United	34c	62.81$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.43	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Manchester United	32c	62.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.5	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7906…3907backed Manchester United	33c	60.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.61	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d82…14ddbacked Manchester United	34c	58.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.82	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	40cpaid	+56.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc394…315dbacked Manchester United	34c	58.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.82	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6bf…ebbcbacked Manchester United	37c	58.11$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.61	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.63per pick	37cpaid	+170.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d6…ec92backed Manchester United	34c	56.99$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.61	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Manchester United	36c	55.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.56	162	36.4%59 W · 103 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Manchester United	36c	55.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.56	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Manchester United	37c	54.05$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.05	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Manchester United	37c	54.05$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.05	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked Wolves	66c	52$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.32	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Wolves	66c	51.34$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.94	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Wolves	64c	51$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.64	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e2…2cc3backed Wolves	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Manchester United	34c	47.06$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.06	122	41.8%51 W · 71 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Manchester United	36c	47$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.08	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.8wins	+0.19per pick	61cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ec…daabbacked Wolves	48c	46.87$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.47	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Manchester United	24c	45.83$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.83	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d1b…854dbacked Manchester United	45c	45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.8	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Manchester United	45c	44.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-4.1wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Manchester United	31c	43.18$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.84	121	36.4%44 W · 77 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Manchester United	36c	41.67$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	243	40.7%99 W · 144 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)this page
Wolves vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 1.5Over won
Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5Over won
Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event