TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa573…f034

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 61 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT5916.9%10 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$321
Spread: England (-3.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.46
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.26
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$675.11
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$614
Spread: England (-3.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.75
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.75
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$324
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$630
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.8
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)backed Ipswich Town FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.55
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.5
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$298
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$55.25
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+222.6%+$448.5
Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)backed Manchester United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+180.2%+$450.81
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+203%+$402
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+143.9%+$236
Spread: Tottenham (-1.5)backed Tottenham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+400.2%+$765
Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)backed Manchester United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$370
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.77
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$791.96
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.51per pick33cpaid+162.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$203.17
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+203%+$408.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$380.32
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$367.92
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed RB Leipzig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$192
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$76.6
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200.56
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$56.83
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$238
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.