Asian League · resolved market
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x451cdd3bf08e7ed53c27739d3aa20815d94ebeb3e836bdfd7db766b659285dfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 65c | 10,230$6,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,684.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 35c | 4,297$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 63c | 2,764$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.32 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 2,499$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.76 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 2,144$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.36 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,993$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.51 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 63c | 1,249$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.9 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 50c | 1,107$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.74 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 53c | 566.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.11 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 36c | 552.73$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.69 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 46c | 500$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 46c | 494.15$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 37c | 452.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.38 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 36c | 441$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.79 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 425.31$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.64 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…f034backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 35c | 367$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.65 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 35c | 367$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.65 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 35c | 367$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.65 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 31c | 321.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…ee90backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 36c | 312.24$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.21 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 78c | 305$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 270.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.86 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 39c | 247$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.19 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 34c | 220.59$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.49 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 193.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.51 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Under | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed Under | 34c | 115.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…fc1abacked Under | 35c | 114.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 36c | 106$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 104.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 53c | 102.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 53c | 102.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 50c | 99.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 63c | 87.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 35c | 85.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 37c | 82.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 81.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a35…f88bbacked Under | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 34c | 81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 41c | 68.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Under | 37c | 65.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed Under | 34c | 57.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 37c | 53.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 37c | 53.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 36c | 47.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 71c | 40.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 37c | 39.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 62c | 30.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.