Asian League · resolved market
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa819a49786d50552f1a3738abbbb0b5633785a917b2f7acda41f7b9951e290af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 41c | 6,460$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 59c | 2,952$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.32 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 2,101$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.49 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 41c | 581.18$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.55 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 59c | 360$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 59c | 323.59$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.48 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…16c3backed Over | 42c | 286.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 59c | 266.38$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.93 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…253fbacked Over | 42c | 215.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf25…65c0backed Under | 57c | 211$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc9…2161backed Over | 43c | 210.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…8cdebacked Under | 58c | 209$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…0c42backed Under | 58c | 209$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…5f07backed Under | 58c | 209$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…1bfcbacked Over | 43c | 203.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…3602backed Under | 57c | 203$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…c8f7backed Over | 42c | 202.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083a…a253backed Over | 42c | 201.76$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7f…1653backed Over | 42c | 199.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf03…9eb4backed Under | 58c | 199$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4b…59e2backed Over | 42c | 198.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ad16backed Under | 58c | 197$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66d…eef0backed Over | 42c | 196.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…77bfbacked Over | 42c | 196.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5e…3457backed Under | 58c | 196$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb2…5d00backed Over | 42c | 195.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…fba2backed Under | 58c | 195$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a1…86bbbacked Under | 58c | 192$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 59c | 186.19$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 59c | 186.19$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 59c | 180.33$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.94 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 59c | 169.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 59c | 103.55$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…f067backed Under | 69c | 98.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 90.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 59c | 82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 81.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 59c | 72.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a35…f88bbacked Over | 42c | 72.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 59c | 68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…4f5ebacked Over | 42c | 63.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Over | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…f9a3backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 60c | 47.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…aea3backed Over | 25c | 45.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 59c | 37.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 59c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a27…0ceabacked Over | 43c | 34.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e8…2137backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 61c | 32.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 59c | 31.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 42c | 25.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…3781backed Under | 59c | 21.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Under | 59c | 19.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.