TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe741…fc1a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 62 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT4942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.16
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.77
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$45.43
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$4.96
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.82
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$39.18
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$24.86
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.17
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$19.88
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$31.82
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.9
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.02
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$10.23
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.57
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$40.36
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31.7
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.8wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+176.8%+$20.06
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$30.13
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.5
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$18.09
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$26.14
Chicago White Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+170.7%+$52.62
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.79
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$20.21
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$33.28
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.26
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.78
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.67
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$42.41
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.56
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.28
Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.35
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.79
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$21.14
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.64
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$48.17
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+65%+$16.4
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$19.67
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.46
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.35
Madrid Open, Qualification: Elmer Moeller vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Gwangju: Mark Lajal vs Maximus Jonesbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.33
Busan: Alex Bolt vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Fajing Sunbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broadybacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$21.45
Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Charles Broombacked Charles Broom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.18
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.9
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.98
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.91
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Alycia Parks vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.72
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$16.93
Busan: August Holmgren vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.31
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$32.93
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$49.19
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$190.91
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.65
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.04
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$40.19
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+300%+$44.24
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69%+$26.92
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.61
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$4.33
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.1
LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+110%+$43.12
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.49
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.51
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.17
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.47
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.94
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.68
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$22.23
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.13
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.08
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.13
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.32
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.05
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+170.9%+$34.42
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.51
Devils vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$106.37
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.84
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.7
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$38.8
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$44.47
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.57
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$15.53
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.8
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+46%+$17.61
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
All 10 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Banfield vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.98
CA River Plate vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$289.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$57.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+186.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+186.8%+$74.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.