Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaf5d4f492303b2b6d220367c6712c992319ab38ed1e68c23a2fb8d0f287f95e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, Ilbirs eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 38c | 3,765$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.85 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Ilbirs eSports | 16c | 3,213$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.87 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 1,819$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.68 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Yellow Submarine | 66c | 1,499$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.91 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 1,447$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.82 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 1,371$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.73 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Ilbirs eSports | 32c | 1,360$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.84 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Yellow Submarine | 73c | 1,351$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.17 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Ilbirs eSports | 7c | 1,349$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 42c | 1,275$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.87 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Ilbirs eSports | 39c | 1,235$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.7 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yellow Submarine | 70c | 1,174$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.7 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yellow Submarine | 57c | 957.38$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.81 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 906.11$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.01 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Yellow Submarine | 61c | 868.91$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.75 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Yellow Submarine | 58c | 854.44$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.48 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Ilbirs eSports | 4c | 796.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Ilbirs eSports | 19c | 787.48$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.32 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 748.1$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.73 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Ilbirs eSports | 34c | 744.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.24 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yellow Submarine | 70c | 706.22$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.11 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 649.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81fb…74a4backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 588.12$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950c…e503backed Ilbirs eSports | 32c | 575.52$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…ea40backed Ilbirs eSports | 11c | 548.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 528.6$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Ilbirs eSports | 39c | 491.83$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.81 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Ilbirs eSports | 34c | 443$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.81 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 436.67$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.51 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 385.35$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Yellow Submarine | 59c | 368.93$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.55 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 38c | 344.85$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d18…0465backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 328.44$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Ilbirs eSports | 21c | 319.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yellow Submarine | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…c639backed Ilbirs eSports | 34c | 288.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 273.5$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 265.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Yellow Submarine | 66c | 251.06$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Ilbirs eSports | 40c | 241.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 39c | 214.46$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yellow Submarine | 61c | 211.93$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ilbirs eSports | 30c | 209.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 206.09$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.87 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Ilbirs eSports | 35c | 176.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…b7b5backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 164.76$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yellow Submarine | 62c | 155.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yellow Submarine | 60c | 153.49$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Ilbirs eSports | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Yellow Submarine | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 131.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 130.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Ilbirs eSports | 40c | 106.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Ilbirs eSports | 31c | 106.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 104.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yellow Submarine | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…58afbacked Ilbirs eSports | 36c | 99.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Ilbirs eSports | 17c | 99.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Ilbirs eSports | 35c | 98.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yellow Submarine | 75c | 97.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…02d6backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 97.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yellow Submarine | 72c | 95.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 95.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Yellow Submarine | 62c | 80.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yellow Submarine | 64c | 79.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ilbirs eSports | 38c | 78.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Yellow Submarine | 77c | 72.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yellow Submarine | 65c | 61.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed Ilbirs eSports | 39c | 60.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x136b…7d46backed Ilbirs eSports | 25c | 55.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 33c | 52.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Ilbirs eSports | 35c | 50.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 49.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 49.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…fc1abacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 47.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 316 | 59.8%189 W · 127 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…7d49backed Yellow Submarine | 79c | 39.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…7a30backed Yellow Submarine | 78c | 37.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 37.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yellow Submarine | 64c | 37.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Ilbirs eSports | 36c | 35.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 33.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 463 | 54.6%253 W · 210 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…e8e7backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 30.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Yellow Submarine | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -6.5wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Yellow Submarine | 68c | 30.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 36c | 30.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Yellow Submarine | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yellow Submarine | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 29.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 28.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 28.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…182cbacked Yellow Submarine | 66c | 26.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 25.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yellow Submarine | 59c | 25.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsIlbirs eSports won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
- Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Ilbirs eSports (+1.5)Ilbirs eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.