Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64c2accc01714f4b14c18fcab3b66385f9acf5c9997439b13546fc797c7e4df1

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ilbirs eSportsof Yellow Submarine, Ilbirs eSports
Resolved: Apr 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $45,904
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $49,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,904 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdbb3…76a9backed Ilbirs eSports	43c	7,506$3,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,298.17	517	51.3%265 W · 252 L	+21.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Ilbirs eSports	34c	4,298$1,472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,826.01	1,066	57%608 W · 458 L	+52.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Yellow Submarine	78c	4,255$3,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,332.72	510	49%250 W · 260 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Yellow Submarine	68c	3,312$2,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,239.89	802	56%449 W · 353 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ilbirs eSports	33c	3,148$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,108.89	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Yellow Submarine	65c	2,829$1,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,825.33	953	42.2%402 W · 551 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Yellow Submarine	67c	2,338$1,562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,562.36	169	45%76 W · 93 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Ilbirs eSports	36c	2,104$752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,351.85	551	47.5%262 W · 289 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Ilbirs eSports	38c	1,956$735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,221.66	470	46.6%219 W · 251 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ilbirs eSports	33c	1,867$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,247.37	738	41.7%308 W · 430 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Yellow Submarine	75c	1,768$1,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,334.4	179	54.2%97 W · 82 L	-12.6wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Yellow Submarine	67c	1,768$1,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,190.2	1,202	59.3%713 W · 489 L	+64.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Ilbirs eSports	33c	1,441$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$965.67	476	50.8%242 W · 234 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Ilbirs eSports	31c	902.24$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.11	1,577	43.9%692 W · 885 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Ilbirs eSports	25c	719.82$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.83	1,275	33.5%427 W · 848 L	-15.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Yellow Submarine	75c	695.63$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.72	367	59.1%217 W · 150 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Ilbirs eSports	33c	682.72$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455.56	606	46.9%284 W · 322 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Yellow Submarine	68c	648.85$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.22	507	69.2%351 W · 156 L	+33.7wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yellow Submarine	63c	648.72$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.4	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c09…8a0bbacked Yellow Submarine	62c	648$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.02	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	65cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Ilbirs eSports	63c	583.95$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.32	156	50.6%79 W · 77 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Ilbirs eSports	35c	545.17$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.94	89	46.1%41 W · 48 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine	70c	535.29$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.29	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Ilbirs eSports	42c	530$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.4	147	47.6%70 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Yellow Submarine	67c	498.08$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.69	971	42.7%415 W · 556 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…ea40backed Ilbirs eSports	30c	489.51$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.84	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Ilbirs eSports	37c	441.37$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.64	772	56.5%436 W · 336 L	+30.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed Yellow Submarine	67c	436.22$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.13	191	62.8%120 W · 71 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Ilbirs eSports	39c	419.95$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.17	500	53%265 W · 235 L	+14.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yellow Submarine	63c	416.27$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.94	670	43.3%290 W · 380 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Yellow Submarine	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	462	40.7%188 W · 274 L	+15.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Yellow Submarine	76c	387.31$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.74	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a6…fbadbacked Yellow Submarine	68c	342.07$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.29	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d5…dc17backed Ilbirs eSports	59c	314.29$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.86	73	76.7%56 W · 17 L	+6.8wins	+0.09per pick	67cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Ilbirs eSports	62c	313.81$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.25	574	55.4%318 W · 256 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed Yellow Submarine	69c	303.32$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.36	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…5539backed Ilbirs eSports	61c	300$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117	174	54%94 W · 80 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Ilbirs eSports	30c	274.88$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.86	515	50.9%262 W · 253 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Yellow Submarine	73c	268.36$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.82	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa04b…f09bbacked Ilbirs eSports	64c	230.72$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.99	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Ilbirs eSports	30c	200$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	292	40.4%118 W · 174 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Yellow Submarine	70c	196.4$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.48	962	45.5%438 W · 524 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x984b…88fbbacked Yellow Submarine	70c	184.85$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.84	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Ilbirs eSports	30c	179.86$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.79	227	52.9%120 W · 107 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Yellow Submarine	63c	176.94$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.47	189	54%102 W · 87 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Ilbirs eSports	33c	174.72$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.06	187	39%73 W · 114 L	-9.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Ilbirs eSports	44c	169.11$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.22	430	49.1%211 W · 219 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Yellow Submarine	66c	149.82$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.29	1,260	49.7%626 W · 634 L	+21.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked Yellow Submarine	39c	144.24$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.17	563	43.9%247 W · 316 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82ef…840bbacked Yellow Submarine	69c	142.23$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.14	90	58.9%53 W · 37 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked Yellow Submarine	65c	135.68$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.61	201	51.2%103 W · 98 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Yellow Submarine	64c	133.06$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.16	866	59.6%516 W · 350 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Yellow Submarine	47c	131$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.89	350	32.3%113 W · 237 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yellow Submarine	71c	125.99$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.45	610	57.9%353 W · 257 L	+2.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22d6…b7b5backed Yellow Submarine	65c	125.68$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.33	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-3.8wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed Yellow Submarine	63c	122$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.76	209	39.2%82 W · 127 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed Yellow Submarine	61c	112.72$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.33	461	50.8%234 W · 227 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Yellow Submarine	63c	112.34$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.39	132	28.8%38 W · 94 L	-9.7wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-40%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yellow Submarine	53c	110$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.18	1,013	45.5%461 W · 552 L	-46.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ilbirs eSports	30c	104.77$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.83	1,164	47.2%549 W · 615 L	-29.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Ilbirs eSports	33c	103.65$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.86	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+18%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51a4…02d6backed Yellow Submarine	59c	101.87$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.98	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yellow Submarine	61c	101.45$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.89	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Yellow Submarine	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	675	55%371 W · 304 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Ilbirs eSports	47c	98.64$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.39	745	49.3%367 W · 378 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ilbirs eSports	35c	95.58$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.13	966	45.1%436 W · 530 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Yellow Submarine	52c	95.42$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.76	1,797	55.8%1,003 W · 794 L	+37.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Yellow Submarine	69c	90$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.4	468	72.2%338 W · 130 L	+36.5wins	+0.08per pick	64cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Yellow Submarine	70c	79.96$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.97	354	61.3%217 W · 137 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ilbirs eSports	36c	72.5$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.35	1,034	16.3%169 W · 865 L	-158.1wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yellow Submarine	67c	71.48$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.58	463	54.6%253 W · 210 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Yellow Submarine	58c	66$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.09	252	53.2%134 W · 118 L	+20.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe741…fc1abacked Yellow Submarine	67c	59.4$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.8	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yellow Submarine	49c	57.05$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.88	690	33.3%230 W · 460 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Yellow Submarine	63c	54.32$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.22	154	61.7%95 W · 59 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Ilbirs eSports	37c	51.22$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.05	79	54.4%43 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Yellow Submarine	68c	50.48$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.33	316	59.8%189 W · 127 L	+18.0wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x361a…783fbacked Ilbirs eSports	27c	47.8$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.07	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Ilbirs eSports	42c	47.23$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.57	306	47.4%145 W · 161 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…348ebacked Yellow Submarine	68c	45.56$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.98	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine	59c	37.08$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.7	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7028…66d1backed Yellow Submarine	67c	35.33$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.67	122	58.2%71 W · 51 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc18…9b6ebacked Ilbirs eSports	31c	34.32$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.69per pick	31cpaid	+219.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yellow Submarine	61c	33.81$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.63	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+50.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yellow Submarine	61c	33.81$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.63	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yellow Submarine	61c	33.81$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.63	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yellow Submarine	61c	33.81$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.63	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yellow Submarine	61c	33.81$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.63	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yellow Submarine	61c	33.81$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.63	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Yellow Submarine	62c	32.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-6.5wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Ilbirs eSports	38c	31$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.14	54	74.1%40 W · 14 L	+8.1wins	+0.15per pick	59cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yellow Submarine	61c	30.64$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.69	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Ilbirs eSports	35c	30.58$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.95	245	18.8%46 W · 199 L	-31.2wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-46%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Yellow Submarine	68c	30.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.41	483	52.4%253 W · 230 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd7…6265backed Yellow Submarine	73c	30$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef87…e248backed Ilbirs eSports	36c	29.25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.72	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Ilbirs eSports	36c	28.85$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	582	50.5%294 W · 288 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Ilbirs eSports	43c	28.11$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.92	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac16…cca2backed Yellow Submarine	70c	28.06$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.64	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…9c7dbacked Yellow Submarine	70c	28.06$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.64	367	61%224 W · 143 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsIlbirs eSports won
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Ilbirs eSports (+1.5)Ilbirs eSports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event