TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a11…eb9d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
269
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT16945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 169 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Team Nemesis - Game 3 Winnerbacked Estar Backs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.7
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,935.04
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,016.18
Dota 2: OG vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,488Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$1,033.2
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.6
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.98
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.97
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$909.31
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+147.3%+$1,456.61
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.97
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.95
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$616.1
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: GLYPH vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$613.84
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,249.85
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,023Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$1,754.44
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$327.79
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,005.71
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,493Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$1,093.37
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,049.99
Showing 25 of 169 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.43
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$1,565.18
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Will Racing Club win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$785.03
Will Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.84
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.11
Will Academia Puerto Cabello win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.61
Will Cusco FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.03
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.81
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$109.28
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.13
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.33
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$648.99
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.57
Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$515.19
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
SE Palmeiras vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$1,028.57
SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,452.24
Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,451.57
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$236.8
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+495.2%+$2,476.19
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$970.3
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.11
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.81
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,977Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$551.86
Will Egypt vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$254.15
Will Japan win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$899.58
Luxembourg vs. Malta: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$528.22
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.7
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.4
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$179.67
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-56%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 2 Winnerbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.99
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+227.3%+$1,070.12
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$982.14
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.22
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.86
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.27
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
LoL: CCG Esports vs Blue Otter - Game 2 Winnerbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,988Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$985.87
LoL: CCG Esports vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winnerbacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.43
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$88.84
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,040.86
All 14 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$863Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$863.4
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$611.11
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.03
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$312.86
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10.88
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.87
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$812Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+56%+$454.65
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.8
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$1,094.96
Will Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$282.27
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+84.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$461.54
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$479.9
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+206.2%+$927.84
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+86.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$426.86
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+282.3%+$394.76
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$495.84
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$898.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$646.07
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,614Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$908.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.16
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$331.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.2
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$900.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+864.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+864.8%+$654.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+71%+$235.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,726Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$970.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,945Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,945
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.