TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Tundra Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$464,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$533,756

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION62c42,057$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,057.391,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION64c27,726$17,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,922.996557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Tundra Esports39c27,200$10,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,507.1380256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Tundra Esports37c20,370$7,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,573.8931248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports33c20,336$6,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,634.9571454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked PARIVISION63c12,320$7,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,614.7713851.4%71 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Tundra Esports39c12,111$4,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,723.2641056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION64c9,644$6,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,515.9228159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed PARIVISION62c9,307$5,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,549.8527153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Tundra Esports39c8,762$3,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3791,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Tundra Esports9c8,374$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.9140014.8%59 W · 341 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Tundra Esports40c7,507$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00043344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Tundra Esports48c6,653$3,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,163.5716641.6%69 W · 97 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Tundra Esports42c6,284$2,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.2861456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports36c6,125$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.751,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Tundra Esports38c6,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2809839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Tundra Esports40c5,970$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.915244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed Tundra Esports41c5,911$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40012557.6%72 W · 53 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf24…7d4abacked PARIVISION75c5,658$4,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.285149%25 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports38c5,361$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.181,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports36c5,336$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.581,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Tundra Esports36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80056542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Tundra Esports37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85041944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Tundra Esports11c4,026$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.910646.2%49 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports36c3,932$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.9169644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports34c3,707$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.221,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Tundra Esports41c3,473$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.111753%62 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a94…5e99backed PARIVISION62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.816159%36 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked PARIVISION63c3,170$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.941055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION68c3,005$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.61,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Tundra Esports38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14064744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Tundra Esports37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11015144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION62c2,990$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.356955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports29c2,964$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.1834468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed PARIVISION60c2,944$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.2424153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked PARIVISION67c2,870$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.061,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed PARIVISION63c2,819$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.2136248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed PARIVISION62c2,700$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02688539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Tundra Esports39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9518739%73 W · 114 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Tundra Esports39c2,400$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.9153764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed Tundra Esports43c2,349$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed PARIVISION61c2,336$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.643562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed PARIVISION64c2,330$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.0334561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Tundra Esports29c2,273$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.9545750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Tundra Esports35c2,100$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.9981029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked PARIVISION70c2,070$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62812146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION60c2,056$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.652,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48079859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Tundra Esports1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201153.5%4 W · 111 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-88.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Tundra Esports35c1,969$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.531,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed PARIVISION63c1,919$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.5848954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Tundra Esports36c1,906$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.0232951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc156…f76cbacked Tundra Esports38c1,900$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72016547.9%79 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports35c1,822$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.3689749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed PARIVISION56c1,794$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.2557449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed PARIVISION62c1,645$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.141351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked PARIVISION62c1,621$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.116945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc62d…74fcbacked PARIVISION65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.465251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed PARIVISION70c1,500$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45520767.1%139 W · 68 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed PARIVISION62c1,418$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.8325248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Tundra Esports41c1,400$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.7325752.1%134 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Tundra Esports41c1,389$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.8916746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Tundra Esports41c1,362$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.234443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Tundra Esports36c1,341$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.5625444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Tundra Esports17c1,300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.651,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299b…cdc1backed PARIVISION63c1,236$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.316552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Tundra Esports35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42031547.6%150 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed PARIVISION63c1,183$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.7135151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION63c1,108$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.1435758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed PARIVISION69c1,100$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.0147650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Tundra Esports21c1,093$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.7158746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION59c1,068$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.7149455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Tundra Esports40c1,058$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.6550850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Tundra Esports37c1,027$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38022727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Tundra Esports32c1,022$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.768649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed PARIVISION63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3706547.7%31 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Tundra Esports36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36055751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x008b…c1cfbacked PARIVISION60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4005547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Tundra Esports16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16018143.6%79 W · 102 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Tundra Esports37c999.99$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.8126846.6%125 W · 143 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION67c999.97$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9979959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed PARIVISION61c999$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.6160349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed PARIVISION64c927.48$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.897545.3%34 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked PARIVISION61c916.55$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.735951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Tundra Esports33c887.51$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.4250749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94f4…77a2backed Tundra Esports40c816$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.37850%39 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce5…94dabacked Tundra Esports40c815.99$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.313043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed PARIVISION61c801$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.3925935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2756…e8c7backed Tundra Esports39c794.41$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.8220661.7%127 W · 79 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce6…ba8bbacked Tundra Esports40c788.03$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.215250%26 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed PARIVISION64c783.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.3514562.1%90 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Tundra Esports27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked PARIVISION64c730.79$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.4914157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Tundra Esports39c726.63$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.6212536%45 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Tundra Esports42c709.67$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.0630054.7%164 W · 136 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Tundra Esports38c700$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2663253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Tundra Esports37c700$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed PARIVISION63c700$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25965441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed PARIVISION75c699.99$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17353758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Tundra Esports11c695.45$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0869132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.