Lol · resolved market
LoL: CCG Esports vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x729e90efa91d37ece2fdf2ea79769a1e9654fdf618460debbf4b729e228b5d67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CCG Esportsof CCG Esports, Blue Otter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x473f…9892backed Blue Otter | 7c | 2,360$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.19 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked CCG Esports | 62c | 2,293$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.73 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Blue Otter | 27c | 1,791$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.43 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked CCG Esports | 60c | 1,079$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.36 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked CCG Esports | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Blue Otter | 9c | 899.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blue Otter | 26c | 816.23$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Blue Otter | 40c | 786.25$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.29 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed CCG Esports | 74c | 550$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CCG Esports | 74c | 438.47$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed CCG Esports | 70c | 432.4$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Blue Otter | 48c | 404.25$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.75 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Blue Otter | 26c | 387.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CCG Esports | 68c | 343.63$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked CCG Esports | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked CCG Esports | 64c | 225.36$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked CCG Esports | 77c | 190.03$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Blue Otter | 40c | 174.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed CCG Esports | 58c | 171.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked CCG Esports | 77c | 163.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked CCG Esports | 67c | 133.85$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Blue Otter | 41c | 129.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 304 | 41.8%127 W · 177 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Blue Otter | 47c | 121.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Blue Otter | 32c | 113.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CCG Esports | 69c | 102.56$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked CCG Esports | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Blue Otter | 22c | 80.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Blue Otter | 43c | 74.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Blue Otter | 44c | 72.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +9.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe703…37ddbacked CCG Esports | 66c | 69.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Blue Otter | 37c | 65.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Blue Otter | 40c | 60.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 183 | 59.6%109 W · 74 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked CCG Esports | 62c | 59.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Blue Otter | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed CCG Esports | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Blue Otter | 39c | 37.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed CCG Esports | 71c | 35.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce22…5704backed CCG Esports | 75c | 32.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x973a…52eabacked CCG Esports | 69c | 31.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked CCG Esports | 53c | 27.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed CCG Esports | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…dcbabacked CCG Esports | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 168 | 63.7%107 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed CCG Esports | 69c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…221fbacked CCG Esports | 78c | 14.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: CCG Esports vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: CCG (-1.5) vs Blue Otter (+1.5)CCG Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: CCG Esports vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonCCG Esports won
- LoL: CCG Esports vs Blue Otter - Game 2 WinnerCCG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.