Lol · resolved market
LoL: CCG Esports vs Blue Otter - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8447bc53dd181fa97dc0e6ade069467ad40c758999903f48ecde8a1780726bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CCG Esportsof CCG Esports, Blue Otter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Blue Otter | 35c | 19,970$7,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,070.91 | 313 | 28.8%90 W · 223 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked CCG Esports | 68c | 6,145$4,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.89 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked CCG Esports | 67c | 2,974$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.87 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blue Otter | 38c | 2,529$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.47 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Blue Otter | 42c | 2,309$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.07 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Blue Otter | 34c | 2,142$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.07 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Blue Otter | 39c | 2,008$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.64 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed CCG Esports | 57c | 1,974$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.38 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked CCG Esports | 63c | 1,700$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.45 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed CCG Esports | 67c | 1,600$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.62 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked CCG Esports | 62c | 1,599$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.12 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed CCG Esports | 60c | 999.99$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Blue Otter | 38c | 930.14$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.36 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed CCG Esports | 64c | 860.94$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.72 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed CCG Esports | 72c | 721.86$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.43 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Blue Otter | 37c | 711.92$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.67 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Blue Otter | 33c | 672.4$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.89 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed CCG Esports | 66c | 640.83$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.18 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed CCG Esports | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 207 | 64.3%133 W · 74 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed CCG Esports | 56c | 599.98$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed CCG Esports | 65c | 576.2$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.89 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed CCG Esports | 65c | 512.09$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.23 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blue Otter | 36c | 397.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.59 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Blue Otter | 31c | 351.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed CCG Esports | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Blue Otter | 43c | 319.19$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.28 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked CCG Esports | 69c | 311.04$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked CCG Esports | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked CCG Esports | 57c | 292.26$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…3a5dbacked CCG Esports | 75c | 262.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked CCG Esports | 62c | 201.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.02 | 111 | 27.9%31 W · 80 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…5e77backed Blue Otter | 40c | 192.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Blue Otter | 33c | 191.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…9f99backed CCG Esports | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 307 | 44%135 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…51f3backed CCG Esports | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CCG Esports | 68c | 128.79$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…5cefbacked CCG Esports | 62c | 126.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked CCG Esports | 62c | 106.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…d5c0backed Blue Otter | 39c | 106.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Blue Otter | 35c | 104.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Blue Otter | 26c | 91.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 360 | 40.6%146 W · 214 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blue Otter | 31c | 90.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Blue Otter | 38c | 87.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Blue Otter | 43c | 80.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 282 | 46.5%131 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed CCG Esports | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked CCG Esports | 74c | 74.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked CCG Esports | 58c | 72.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed Blue Otter | 34c | 72.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed CCG Esports | 55c | 71.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked CCG Esports | 69c | 70.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…c09bbacked CCG Esports | 66c | 67.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked CCG Esports | 59c | 55.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Blue Otter | 36c | 53.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed CCG Esports | 60c | 53.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…c5e1backed CCG Esports | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…dcbabacked CCG Esports | 61c | 47.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 168 | 63.7%107 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked CCG Esports | 65c | 47.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 381 | 57.5%219 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed CCG Esports | 62c | 47.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebcc…3386backed CCG Esports | 78c | 45.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Blue Otter | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee7…0f4abacked Blue Otter | 39c | 37.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…892ebacked CCG Esports | 65c | 35.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Blue Otter | 36c | 34.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Blue Otter | 40c | 31.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 208 | 54.3%113 W · 95 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed CCG Esports | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -69%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ba…8faebacked CCG Esports | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: CCG Esports vs Blue Otter - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: CCG (-1.5) vs Blue Otter (+1.5)CCG Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: CCG Esports vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonCCG Esports won
- LoL: CCG Esports vs Blue Otter - Game 1 WinnerCCG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.