TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Tundra Esports, Team Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$708,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$798,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $708,171 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 578 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Tundra Esports47c85,278$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,0001,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Tundra Esports48c37,796$18,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,167.814951%25 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Team Spirit52c19,184$9,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,208.4922644.7%101 W · 125 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports38c18,361$6,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,951.21,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Tundra Esports46c15,683$7,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,216.0817452.3%91 W · 83 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team Spirit62c15,000$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.9227153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Team Spirit55c13,175$7,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,962.0531248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Tundra Esports46c12,617$5,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,854.489341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Tundra Esports48c12,326$5,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,926.412948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Tundra Esports38c11,689$4,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,485.0545139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Spirit54c11,583$6,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,379.8841056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Tundra Esports47c11,256$5,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,255.3980056%448 W · 352 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Spirit61c10,192$6,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,985.4742650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc04e…75d9backed Tundra Esports45c10,168$4,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,575.496139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit61c10,014$6,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,879.031,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Team Spirit52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80026540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1137…e601backed Team Spirit52c9,975$5,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,787.87040%28 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Spirit54c9,300$4,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,31469644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Spirit61c7,685$4,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,005.5756955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Tundra Esports1c7,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7043344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3601…44fbbacked Team Spirit65c6,107$3,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.7616954.4%92 W · 77 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Tundra Esports46c6,022$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,770.2115848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Team Spirit52c6,000$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,859.9956542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team Spirit59c6,000$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.9729348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Team Spirit60c5,850$3,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,362.8441351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Spirit62c5,101$3,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.3736248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Team Spirit56c4,893$2,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.7971454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit64c4,867$3,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.042,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d23…fcdfbacked Tundra Esports48c4,812$2,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.081225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-46.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed Team Spirit63c4,662$2,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.912557.6%72 W · 53 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team Spirit62c4,358$2,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.7749455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Team Spirit64c4,152$2,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.632347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Tundra Esports44c4,106$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.5918351.9%95 W · 88 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Spirit55c4,022$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.941944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit66c3,893$2,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.421,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Team Spirit54c3,777$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.4416945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Tundra Esports42c3,683$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.3711552.2%60 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Team Spirit53c3,475$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.2530336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit69c3,245$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.722,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Team Spirit55c3,201$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.9840051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6111…4742backed Team Spirit53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4104957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Team Spirit53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41015144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Tundra Esports1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26041042.4%174 W · 236 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Team Spirit53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.9710646.2%49 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a94…5e99backed Team Spirit54c2,963$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.966159%36 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Team Spirit53c2,941$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.2916746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Spirit54c2,938$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.3777941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Team Spirit62c2,930$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.8235951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Tundra Esports47c2,927$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.6361256%343 W · 269 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit58c2,926$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.2889749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Tundra Esports37c2,815$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.8853764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Tundra Esports46c2,814$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.4211753%62 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Tundra Esports41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.9922727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Tundra Esports45c2,457$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10061057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed Team Spirit53c2,438$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.482552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Spirit56c2,338$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.2232951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa41…79dbbacked Tundra Esports44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Spirit57c2,244$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.6477256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Team Spirit69c2,218$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.945352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Tundra Esports34c2,001$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.2660646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Spirit66c2,000$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.379159.4%470 W · 321 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Tundra Esports41c1,970$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.6932241.6%134 W · 188 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Spirit60c1,891$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.6828251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Tundra Esports49c1,849$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.11442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Spirit65c1,800$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.881,15147.8%550 W · 601 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc156…f76cbacked Team Spirit62c1,793$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.5916547.9%79 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Team Spirit59c1,760$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.212146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb333…c7eebacked Team Spirit63c1,696$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.562560%15 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Team Spirit56c1,636$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.9729042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Spirit54c1,616$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.7267932.5%221 W · 458 L-27.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Team Spirit63c1,616$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.2435151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86ed…c1e5backed Tundra Esports38c1,508$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5731225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Team Spirit53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7057349.3%36 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Team Spirit53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70521146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Spirit58c1,497$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.722,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7900…3393backed Tundra Esports30c1,491$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.838457.1%48 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports30c1,420$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.8148954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit53c1,403$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.521,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit57c1,401$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.521,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Tundra Esports42c1,367$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.8325752.1%134 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bf…4ba8backed Tundra Esports35c1,342$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4752128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-46.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tundra Esports36c1,339$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.2765647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Tundra Esports45c1,334$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.0781029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed Tundra Esports38c1,320$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014562.1%90 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b5…54c4backed Tundra Esports44c1,263$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56029240.8%119 W · 173 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Spirit55c1,257$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.5637241.9%156 W · 216 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c28…6a12backed Tundra Esports20c1,250$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.55119.6%10 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-52.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed Tundra Esports40c1,228$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.1910051%51 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Tundra Esports24c1,223$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.5350850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd206…bd2abacked Tundra Esports34c1,216$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41515957.2%91 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Team Spirit57c1,204$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.8110351.5%53 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Team Spirit55c1,200$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.9980544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad4d…dd89backed Tundra Esports37c1,193$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.467736.4%28 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Team Spirit60c1,167$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6737549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Team Spirit50c1,164$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58237945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcac4…d1acbacked Team Spirit54c1,131$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Spirit72c1,125$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.4730138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Team Spirit63c1,112$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.928459.5%50 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Tundra Esports46c1,111$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.057742.9%33 W · 44 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.