TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GLYPHof Team Falcons, GLYPH
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$358,260
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$362,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,260 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf991…3965backed GLYPH21c26,657$5,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,950.8931248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons75c16,488$12,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,408.9740051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Team Falcons78c16,465$12,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,790.3912560%75 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked GLYPH25c13,099$3,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,800.489741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed GLYPH28c12,826$3,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,282.7433746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad4d…dd89backed Team Falcons1c12,810$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.17736.4%28 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked GLYPH26c12,299$3,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,137.381,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Falcons73c11,111$8,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,111.0341056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed GLYPH23c6,325$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,870.5716147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed GLYPH18c6,107$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,006.941,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons76c6,106$4,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,640.6942650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa41…79dbbacked GLYPH19c5,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,250.421931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed GLYPH17c5,000$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1504143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Falcons73c4,910$3,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,590.6851364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons38c4,561$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.481,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed GLYPH18c4,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,69036248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed GLYPH17c4,201$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,486.4581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked GLYPH21c3,852$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,054.381,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed GLYPH19c3,816$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,090.792142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Team Falcons7c3,664$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.5443344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed GLYPH40c3,388$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,03751140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Team Falcons36c2,901$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.9916945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2469…4812backed Team Falcons12c2,878$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.752733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked GLYPH73c2,696$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.8721144.1%93 W · 118 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons56c2,539$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.1434468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked GLYPH25c2,328$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74637945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Falcons77c2,183$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.4753764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons76c2,167$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.9256955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons55c2,144$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.1492056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Team Falcons79c2,039$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.4326956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed GLYPH25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50058744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Team Falcons2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30350%0 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons77c2,000$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.249455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked GLYPH27c2,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.9827143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked GLYPH17c1,919$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.512050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Falcons79c1,877$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.8233867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked GLYPH32c1,843$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.061,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed GLYPH25c1,833$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.811546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed GLYPH73c1,784$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.3441655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked GLYPH19c1,719$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.072,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed GLYPH17c1,538$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.79650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Team Falcons77c1,536$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.8435151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons66c1,531$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.331,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Team Falcons40c1,511$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60048057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked GLYPH18c1,500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23069835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Team Falcons1c1,330$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.912217.2%21 W · 101 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Team Falcons1c1,330$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91040%0 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Team Falcons76c1,320$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.25853.4%31 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa74…d98bbacked GLYPH17c1,316$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick35cpaid+290.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff93…1239backed GLYPH17c1,316$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+100.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons76c1,250$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95079859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked GLYPH24c1,250$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95060646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked GLYPH18c1,249$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.4796645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons73c1,213$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.131,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked GLYPH15c1,200$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02046240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons70c1,115$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.792,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed GLYPH19c1,098$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.2912740.2%51 W · 76 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x468c…d7cabacked GLYPH46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.483764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe56b…2c03backed GLYPH15c1,067$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.679341.9%39 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Falcons10c1,035$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7569033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Falcons79c1,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79026846.6%125 W · 143 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Team Falcons1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc159…f3c8backed Team Falcons1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019238.5%74 W · 118 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a01…7650backed Team Falcons1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed GLYPH17c999.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.991216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Falcons39c963.22$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.271,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Team Falcons76c955.25$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.998459.5%50 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ab…eb07backed Team Falcons20c875$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.877846.2%36 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Team Falcons11c870$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4635430.5%108 W · 246 L-27.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons69c837.84$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.811,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Team Falcons5c833$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.655923.7%14 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2b…1388backed Team Falcons60c832.5$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008046.3%37 W · 43 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked GLYPH18c822.71$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.47440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team Falcons7c800$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Team Falcons79c790$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.7527060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed GLYPH27c769.83$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.9545750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Falcons34c702.44$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5130138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed GLYPH73c697.72$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3693546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed GLYPH14c690.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.4388539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa386…cb0fbacked GLYPH19c681.79$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.252748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked GLYPH16c663.91$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.683647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x625f…d53abacked GLYPH25c653.86$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed GLYPH20c602$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.7517648.3%85 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed GLYPH25c600$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502040%8 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons76c600$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45679959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Team Falcons6c600$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3417636.9%65 W · 111 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Team Falcons6c600$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3413129.8%39 W · 92 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked Team Falcons59c593.13$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508959.6%53 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8a…f907backed Team Falcons18c564.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014136.9%52 W · 89 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked GLYPH19c562$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.226349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed GLYPH17c560$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.82835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed GLYPH25c560$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42058356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Team Falcons34c556.22$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0920740.1%83 W · 124 L-14.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Falcons16c553$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2269132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed GLYPH20c549.9$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.929946.5%46 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Team Falcons8c519.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2165337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons74c505.2$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.531,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Team Falcons11c504$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6728336.4%103 W · 180 L+1.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed GLYPH62c502.05$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.821,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed GLYPH16c500$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42029143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.