TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x611a…e171

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
270
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 51 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT17460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 174 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10,013Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7,251.07
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,208
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$280.8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$668
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,367.1
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,647Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$864.12
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$553
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,474Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$517.81
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,002Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,757.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$187.76
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,004Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$483.64
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$405
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$427.8
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$96.97
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.83
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,014.3
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$440.71
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$353
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.2
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,041.88
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,002.8
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$508.51
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+45%+$449.77
Showing 25 of 174 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT5853.4%31 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$200.13
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$75.54
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.97
Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs InterActive Philippines (+1.5)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.9
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.8
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs - Game 1 Winnerbacked Estar Backs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$919.6
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.99
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Estar Backs - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.55
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.99
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$181.2
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$155
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$225.99
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,005
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$524
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,005
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$330
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.1
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.2
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$497
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$326.04
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$600.49
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,005
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.98
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,004.6
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$580
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$780
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,499.96
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$378.4
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.31
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$804Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$804
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$212.96
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$224.64
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$347.46
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$844.53
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,075.89
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$429
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$224
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Homburg Open: Solana Sierra vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$166.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$440
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.