TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof Team Yandex, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$886,861
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,021,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $886,861 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team46c271,173$125,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145,972.71,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Yandex62c200,989$125,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,331.8628748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0286…f61dbacked Team Yandex47c60,000$28,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,199.993542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Yandex59c41,881$24,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,703.3928159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Team Yandex47c40,000$18,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,799.978847.7%42 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Yandex28c30,332$8,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,424.0289741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed BetBoom Team39c25,000$9,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,25042650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team Yandex63c20,000$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,599.9827153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed BetBoom Team37c19,902$7,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,444.6369644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed BetBoom Team36c19,015$6,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,090.7845139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Team Yandex47c18,146$8,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,528.7616842.9%72 W · 96 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed BetBoom Team37c17,000$6,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,729.9829042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked BetBoom Team37c15,984$5,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,069.751,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked BetBoom Team19c12,931$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,530.531,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Yandex58c11,377$6,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,559.9456955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked BetBoom Team40c10,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,05041944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed BetBoom Team43c9,663$4,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,555.8671143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed BetBoom Team36c9,522$3,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,094.0641056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Yandex64c9,038$5,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7841,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Yandex47c9,000$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,23036041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Team Yandex50c8,718$4,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,325.6731248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked BetBoom Team43c8,671$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,970.8339343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc04e…75d9backed BetBoom Team50c8,104$4,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,011.436139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Yandex74c7,750$5,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,710.8453764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team45c7,215$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,962.211,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Team Yandex63c7,000$4,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,411.6324153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Yandex62c6,995$4,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,336.932549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked BetBoom Team51c5,899$3,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.5450850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a01…c89ebacked BetBoom Team28c5,868$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,219.328251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked BetBoom Team47c4,981$2,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.5592056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team55c4,852$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.351,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Team Yandex39c4,758$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.5913558.5%79 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BetBoom Team53c4,552$2,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.661,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed BetBoom Team14c4,464$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.2935062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd4f9…0a00backed BetBoom Team44c4,091$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.919158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed BetBoom Team69c3,599$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.1643344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Team Yandex1c3,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351153.5%4 W · 111 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-88.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked BetBoom Team19c3,250$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,622.4879859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team Yandex62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86049455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Team Yandex48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9915144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed BetBoom Team17c2,879$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,378.5910743%46 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed BetBoom Team70c2,860$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.730667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed BetBoom Team16c2,757$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.9529348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Team Yandex61c2,610$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.135951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Yandex58c2,601$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.5465647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Team Yandex64c2,565$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.611654.3%63 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc62d…74fcbacked BetBoom Team29c2,454$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.515251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Yandex29c2,440$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.2850347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed BetBoom Team42c2,374$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.6433453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Team Yandex55c2,352$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.338360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed BetBoom Team28c2,250$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.4751544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed BetBoom Team51c2,231$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.9345750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed BetBoom Team56c2,019$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.3256548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Yandex49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98056852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Yandex2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cac…1744backed Team Yandex64c1,886$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.031758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Team Yandex64c1,884$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.3241351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked BetBoom Team53c1,880$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.26955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a3…bd1ebacked BetBoom Team70c1,841$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.13630.6%11 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed BetBoom Team25c1,840$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.769132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Yandex62c1,800$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.9541055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Yandex36c1,768$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.5645951.9%238 W · 221 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed Team Yandex77c1,767$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.514562.1%90 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Team Yandex51c1,760$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9008944.9%40 W · 49 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex57c1,635$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.032,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a7…bcb7backed BetBoom Team37c1,622$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.6210949.5%54 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2deb…2b13backed BetBoom Team70c1,588$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.4711551.3%59 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Team Yandex33c1,518$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030534.4%105 W · 200 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf061…a9aabacked Team Yandex34c1,459$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.591136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Yandex69c1,434$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.911,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed BetBoom Team37c1,410$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.325935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked BetBoom Team62c1,404$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.8736547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Team Yandex47c1,353$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.7619643.9%86 W · 110 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team Yandex4c1,350$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked BetBoom Team49c1,349$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.253225%8 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-57.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x056e…cd80backed BetBoom Team30c1,338$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.814151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Team Yandex61c1,305$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.6635151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex51c1,299$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.2248954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Team Yandex72c1,298$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.6452046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Team Yandex74c1,295$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.2648057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Team Yandex63c1,292$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.9425248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Team Yandex64c1,291$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.284151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed BetBoom Team51c1,286$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.1860552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Yandex48c1,270$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.4225752.1%134 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed BetBoom Team28c1,261$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.1165625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex17c1,250$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.51,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3de…6fe8backed BetBoom Team79c1,243$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.3610075%75 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3c1…8174backed BetBoom Team70c1,215$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.7924947.8%119 W · 130 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Yandex78c1,200$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93756848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed BetBoom Team46c1,160$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.288539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cc…c8ddbacked Team Yandex2c1,100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171177.7%9 W · 108 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Yandex38c1,049$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.691,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BetBoom Team39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6101,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed BetBoom Team64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3606639.4%26 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Team Yandex64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6405853.4%31 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64039660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Yandex64c999.99$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64079959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Team Yandex5c963.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b82…b19ebacked Team Yandex50c955.63$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked BetBoom Team61c907.13$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.9677458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.