Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2c5c75bf3ad2bf138e454468b7732e739baa409ad81d516c81c59c0cdc74927
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakult Brothersof Yakult Brothers, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 55,265$34,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,997.75 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 8,479$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,180.91 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Yakult Brothers | 60c | 5,330$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.53 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Yakult Brothers | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 4,663$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.68 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Vici Gaming | 2c | 4,400$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 3,847$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.74 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Yakult Brothers | 28c | 3,508$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.01 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 3,472$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.13 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yakult Brothers | 27c | 3,400$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.19 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Yakult Brothers | 49c | 3,204$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.73 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 3,000$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.57 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 2,927$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.08 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 2,786$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.14 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 2,777$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.2 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 2,425$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.82 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 2,397$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.79 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Vici Gaming | 60c | 2,211$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.53 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 2,123$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.18 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yakult Brothers | 33c | 1,968$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.57 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 1,612$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.98 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 1,320$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.77 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 1,275$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.82 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Yakult Brothers | 67c | 1,225$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.2 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 1,199$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.15 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 1,197$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.83 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Vici Gaming | 53c | 1,168$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.04 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 1,130$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 1,071$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.91 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 1,029$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.23 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 911.43$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.95 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 860.05$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.19 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 850$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 849.98$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.79 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 847.89$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.33 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yakult Brothers | 26c | 818.17$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.63 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yakult Brothers | 24c | 805.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.37 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Yakult Brothers | 40c | 790.77$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.2 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 711.18$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.2 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Yakult Brothers | 73c | 667.99$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.94 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 663.02$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.7 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 661.15$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.62 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 649.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43bb…26dbbacked Yakult Brothers | 52c | 649$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Vici Gaming | 72c | 641.33$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.63 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 633.47$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.05 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Yakult Brothers | 48c | 628.41$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.62 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yakult Brothers | 23c | 628.17$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.17 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yakult Brothers | 27c | 615.19$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.68 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Yakult Brothers | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Yakult Brothers | 40c | 574.15$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.67 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 560$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.42 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yakult Brothers | 47c | 538.72$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Yakult Brothers | 40c | 522.48$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.46 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 521.22$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.48 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Yakult Brothers | 56c | 500.02$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.01 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Yakult Brothers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…944cbacked Yakult Brothers | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 499.99$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.5 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 499.59$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.69 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming | 59c | 483.32$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.83 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 477.4$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.34 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 450.7$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Yakult Brothers | 29c | 432.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.17 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 429.83$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.47 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…0cf5backed Yakult Brothers | 77c | 428.71$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 421.84$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.97 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Vici Gaming | 58c | 412.03$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.45 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 404.71$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.21 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 396.83$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.47 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Yakult Brothers | 76c | 395.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 395.48$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.79 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 370.03$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.51 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Yakult Brothers | 30c | 366.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.99 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 366.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.88 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Yakult Brothers | 28c | 356.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.03 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 350$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 334.12$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.51 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Yakult Brothers | 27c | 330$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…0f14backed Vici Gaming | 65c | 324.38$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.48 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 315.42$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.1 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 314$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…2e88backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 311.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Yakult Brothers | 71c | 307.75$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Vici Gaming | 11c | 302$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Vici Gaming | 11c | 302$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 298.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Yakult Brothers | 48c | 298.3$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Yakult Brothers | 41c | 298.19$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Yakult Brothers | 23c | 295.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.55 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 283$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.35 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 272.19$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.96 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 269.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Vici Gaming | 22c | 266.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 252.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked Vici Gaming | 56c | 249.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.97 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsYakult Brothers won
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerYakult Brothers won
- Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)Yakult Brothers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.