Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a8ece16e52fd02579edd24d712070f084e330e417d7325fb3e7c134ecb93443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakult Brothersof Vici Gaming, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 226.93$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 200.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf712…10bcbacked Yakult Brothers | 53c | 189.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 180.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 177.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Yakult Brothers | 56c | 170$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Yakult Brothers | 54c | 151.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked Yakult Brothers | 52c | 142.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 134.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…4084backed Yakult Brothers | 52c | 110.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Yakult Brothers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Yakult Brothers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Yakult Brothers | 47c | 59.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yakult Brothers | 80c | 51.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Yakult Brothers | 72c | 43.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 25.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 19.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsYakult Brothers won
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerYakult Brothers won
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerYakult Brothers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.