TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yakult Brothersof Yakult Brothers, Vici Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,579 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming66c18,266$12,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,117.121,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed Yakult Brothers45c13,509$6,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,434.9321155.5%117 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Yakult Brothers36c4,858$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,101.3677256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yakult Brothers28c4,549$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,254.5689440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming75c4,353$3,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2581,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Yakult Brothers29c4,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,840.3847646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Vici Gaming71c3,917$2,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780.9841056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Yakult Brothers52c3,839$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.1733453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Vici Gaming44c3,381$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.41,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Yakult Brothers60c2,449$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.7853764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Yakult Brothers39c2,336$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.443344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Yakult Brothers71c2,299$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.8130667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Yakult Brothers35c2,279$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.6945352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed Vici Gaming75c2,083$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.6210051%51 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43bb…26dbbacked Vici Gaming18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-36.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Vici Gaming1c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Yakult Brothers46c1,991$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.2830356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Vici Gaming68c1,947$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.2655751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Vici Gaming60c1,945$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.0779859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d8…f6b6backed Yakult Brothers29c1,661$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.412748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yakult Brothers29c1,655$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.261,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yakult Brothers29c1,415$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.531,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Yakult Brothers35c1,400$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.357449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Vici Gaming61c1,374$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.0852046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yakult Brothers31c1,242$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.4430146.2%139 W · 162 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yakult Brothers43c1,236$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.0934154.5%186 W · 155 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Yakult Brothers44c1,225$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.461,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Vici Gaming71c1,214$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.6225639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Vici Gaming59c1,077$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.2848053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65c4…3c1abacked Vici Gaming55c1,050$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.53250%16 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Yakult Brothers28c1,035$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.4654246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Yakult Brothers29c1,034$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.4822450%112 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Vici Gaming1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102110.5%1 W · 210 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-99.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yakult Brothers35c980.4$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.941,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Yakult Brothers35c941$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.655244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd19e…d70ebacked Yakult Brothers24c925$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70320859.6%124 W · 84 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a01…c89ebacked Vici Gaming54c924.76$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Yakult Brothers40c821.32$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.471,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Vici Gaming62c817$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.555853.4%31 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Yakult Brothers24c817$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.4188539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Vici Gaming75c793.22$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.5112253.3%65 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Vici Gaming75c770.02$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.0815358.8%90 W · 63 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x952a…bdc8backed Vici Gaming71c760.21$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.758469%58 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed Yakult Brothers31c759.98$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.6945457.5%261 W · 193 L+39.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Vici Gaming63c749.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9951364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Yakult Brothers31c741.42$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.111,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Yakult Brothers27c730$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.935737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Vici Gaming73c700$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51127060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yakult Brothers29c692.29$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.3471143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Vici Gaming73c684.75$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8785851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed Yakult Brothers37c681.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.7914562.1%90 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed Vici Gaming67c680.43$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.0834561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Vici Gaming58c680.43$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.7299844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf11e…3bc1backed Vici Gaming60c667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.210741.1%44 W · 63 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Vici Gaming64c650$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4161668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43dc…86e1backed Yakult Brothers33c609.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.6424244.6%108 W · 134 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x703e…9828backed Yakult Brothers32c602.93$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.857437.8%28 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a0…87e7backed Yakult Brothers32c558.48$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.2510933%36 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Yakult Brothers39c553.25$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.258042.5%34 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x097c…2542backed Vici Gaming69c514$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.66825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x435f…2de6backed Vici Gaming57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2853658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yakult Brothers28c499.82$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.0874549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Yakult Brothers42c493.94$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.1533041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Vici Gaming38c479$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1779341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Yakult Brothers28c444.83$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.8396245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked Yakult Brothers32c431.03$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.611249.1%55 W · 57 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed Yakult Brothers30c423.87$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.8737655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Vici Gaming72c420$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30158356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Yakult Brothers31c419.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.793053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+56.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Yakult Brothers29c414.97$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.281,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c5…9f83backed Yakult Brothers27c405.39$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+99.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked Vici Gaming73c400$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29231055.2%171 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Vici Gaming53c399.11$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.1156945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Vici Gaming68c393.25$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.4172154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Yakult Brothers34c377.49$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.091,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Yakult Brothers40c374.52$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.529640.6%39 W · 57 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yakult Brothers37c360.59$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.2434041.2%140 W · 200 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming56c351.12$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.922,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Vici Gaming60c330$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Vici Gaming66c317.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.514452.1%75 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Vici Gaming12c314.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9540534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Yakult Brothers29c313.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.231,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yakult Brothers43c313.26$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.81,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299b…cdc1backed Yakult Brothers49c307.07$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.076552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Vici Gaming55c299.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.291,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Vici Gaming73c297.72$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.93467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa3e…dd2abacked Yakult Brothers74c293.49$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.718100%8 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+101%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Vici Gaming47c291.22$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8716839.9%67 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Yakult Brothers35c285.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9748843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Vici Gaming67c282.07$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8836547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Vici Gaming50c272.9$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4533850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked Yakult Brothers35c263.02$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4256343.9%247 W · 316 L-1.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791b…9073backed Yakult Brothers48c261.14$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+177.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Yakult Brothers32c260$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0831052.6%163 W · 147 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked Yakult Brothers34c260$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.69428.7%27 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Vici Gaming70c249.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17565863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Vici Gaming54c249.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9959254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed Vici Gaming59c245.04$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.855147.1%24 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0452…843cbacked Yakult Brothers41c241.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.323253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Yakult Brothers24c234.26$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0117737.9%67 W · 110 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.