TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0fac…b89a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
324
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT22450%112 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 224 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,960.1
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$429.03
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,230Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$528.16
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$528.43
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$603.29
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$445.02
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$367.22
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$264.24
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$232.22
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$134.78
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.57
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.29
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$276.19
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$243.26
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$105.65
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Showing 25 of 224 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,384.52
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$333.33
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,046
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+134.7%+$1,347.31
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+141.3%+$1,412.93
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$739.8
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$535.08
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,268Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,710.87
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$103.71
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$104
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 109.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
France vs. England: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,173.91
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,500
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+589.7%+$589.66
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$1,162.16
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,064.15
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,302Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$607.32
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,707Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$576.58
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$637.97
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+191.3%+$428.61
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$270.83
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$230.77
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+161.1%+$881.21
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$175.38
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$253
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$104.78
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.87
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$197.65
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$107.52
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+108.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.