TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$475,005
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$497,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,005 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under49c148,984$72,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,586.0687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Under50c60,388$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00010448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Over51c40,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,599.9611457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over51c37,560$19,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,404.42268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under48c29,096$14,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,075.0914842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c23,662$11,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,777.9455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c21,928$11,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,356.334,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c16,959$8,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,240.386,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over52c12,466$6,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,983.7320545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under52c10,800$5,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,61620744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over52c10,400$5,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,997.3527549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e5f…6816backed Over51c9,412$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,611.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Over53c9,040$4,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,248.6219359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over51c8,200$4,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,01621943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7fd…a5bfbacked Over51c7,843$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a7…efa3backed Over51c7,843$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over51c7,843$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.1438946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Over51c6,913$3,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,387.35442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88017147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf78…ae9ebacked Over51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.3514251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.3518349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Over55c5,340$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.046543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over48c4,041$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.2714441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0bbd…5c97backed Under49c3,696$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8113256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over52c3,525$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.1586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47010248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over52c3,000$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under49c2,990$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.311,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over51c2,975$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.6643438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over52c2,931$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.4323742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under21c2,798$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.781,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under49c2,622$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.6132351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over52c2,600$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24820155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over51c2,569$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.462,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over52c2,400$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.1765939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over51c2,384$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.1230446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b3a…b6bfbacked Over52c2,177$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over51c2,040$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.614940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Over52c1,960$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.625940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over48c1,878$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.452,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under50c1,809$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.371,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Over51c1,562$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.387143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked Over51c1,550$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Under23c1,544$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36024323.9%58 W · 185 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73518444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c1,429$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.792,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e93…439cbacked Over51c1,374$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4877…9290backed Under50c1,332$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c1,217$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.41,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…40bfbacked Over51c1,214$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.073100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over52c1,200$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58268944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over48c1,120$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.416946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Under47c1,111$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.171752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c1,097$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.094,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under19c1,084$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.911,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Under47c1,060$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.23948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d64…26cebacked Over54c1,045$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.361668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+53.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over52c1,020$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.619745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x881e…b439backed Over73c1,007$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.823100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4706055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49020057%114 W · 86 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3913750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Over52c940$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.23275%24 W · 8 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x8476…dc8dbacked Over51c919.8$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.72850%14 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over52c900$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4322171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfdb6…f256backed Under49c851.02$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4172254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over52c844.16$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.2815759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Under2c800$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1931222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Over52c750$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36019547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Under49c745$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.057458.1%43 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under24c709$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.691,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under46c685.55$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.5469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over52c673.08$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0821957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over52c628.85$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.852857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32d6…a8f5backed Over79c614.94$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.946946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over50c613$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23030641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under49c499.95$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9814338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaf72…af1abacked Over52c472.1$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.612050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Over52c470$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.61861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c454.21$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Over50c448.45$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4217247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Over59c446.11$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.116659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1621147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under30c408$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20061740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Over55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18016251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91dd…2730backed Over70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Over54c398.15$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.154465.9%29 W · 15 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+55.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.367950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under49c370$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.3741753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Over55c355.27$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.876544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under46c345$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.756843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c338.93$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.611,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.