TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Cavaliers, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$347,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$368,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,060 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers55c226,168$123,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123,731.9469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks45c200,544$90,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,723.372648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks44c15,458$6,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,656.418651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks46c9,234$4,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,014.486,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers55c8,925$4,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,916.7263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks54c7,398$3,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,426.5819246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Cavaliers55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75025352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks45c4,993$2,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.968,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Knicks45c4,791$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,634.928648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers55c4,545$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50090650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Cavaliers40c4,447$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.582441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers47c4,179$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.891,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Knicks46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62018044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Cavaliers55c2,971$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.9912450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Cavaliers55c2,909$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60016555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Cavaliers53c2,622$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.975453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cavaliers40c2,527$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.691,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Knicks45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.9756843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Cavaliers55c2,309$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2802045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks46c2,173$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.421,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Cavaliers29c2,121$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.698344.6%37 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks53c2,031$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Knicks46c1,995$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.468846.6%41 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks46c1,652$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.042,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks45c1,568$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.331,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Cavaliers54c1,487$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.987143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks45c1,323$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.3125554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks45c1,243$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.7752150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Knicks48c1,223$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.771457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Knicks46c1,193$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.0611440.4%46 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Cavaliers27c1,160$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.141,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers55c1,062$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.884,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Cavaliers54c1,020$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.5938947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks58c997.67$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.021,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Cavaliers54c987.07$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.0265939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Cavaliers55c945.4$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.971435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Cavaliers51c904.57$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.3336051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers54c901.72$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.934,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Knicks45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.8920945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cavaliers48c754.75$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.2868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Knicks45c739.97$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.9962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Cavaliers55c718.14$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.0411446.5%53 W · 61 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Cavaliers55c682.18$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.7434850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.171,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Cavaliers55c636.36$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Cavaliers54c576.9$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.5386641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Cavaliers53c563.82$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.5117247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Cavaliers55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006657.6%38 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Cavaliers55c530.22$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.623043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Cavaliers40c525$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21061638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd3…7082backed Cavaliers55c475.18$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59ce…d001backed Cavaliers55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Knicks46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.781457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+63.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Cavaliers55c418.18$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23019951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Cavaliers51c413.69$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.9846959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks44c400$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.6718653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cavaliers49c358$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.0789850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Knicks45c354.55$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5815759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07ea…aab9backed Knicks46c334.72$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.751942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Knicks46c327$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5849852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Knicks45c318.24$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0316048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Knicks46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16223445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers49c284$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.161,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Cavaliers55c278.42$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7148852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc302…7409backed Knicks46c277.98$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.115846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Cavaliers5c231.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6817946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Cavaliers55c229.91$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.453537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid+58.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Knicks45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2261151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef5a…492abacked Knicks46c219.28$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.411369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdddd…6777backed Knicks46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Knicks46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3925850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ded…3350backed Cavaliers56c186.14$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x941b…7873backed Cavaliers55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc365…635cbacked Cavaliers55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1430…e350backed Cavaliers55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cavaliers8c180.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4239552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Cavaliers10c178.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8915648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cavaliers26c175.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9253842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Knicks46c173.04$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4429449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Cavaliers55c140$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.527450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Cavaliers23c139.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3721953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8d…57f1backed Cavaliers50c138.59$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.21323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x30d8…49a3backed Knicks46c132.37$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.481163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Cavaliers38c130.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022442.9%96 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks64c130$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Cavaliers55c124.24$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.371,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Knicks44c123$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.885671.4%40 W · 16 L+11.0wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x267b…a2a9backed Knicks46c120.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.745100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Cavaliers52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.493543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Cavaliers50c111.72$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8652861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Knicks66c108$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7229547.5%140 W · 155 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Knicks50c106.14$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Cavaliers49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x130d…75c3backed Cavaliers43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Knicks46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5418157.5%104 W · 77 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Knicks56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4465762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Cavaliers53c99.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.991,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Cavaliers55c92.59$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6319445.9%89 W · 105 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5646…c97ebacked Cavaliers55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d2…380bbacked Cavaliers55c80.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.536756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.